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Ethiopia•Premier League
Saturday, Oct 17, 2026, 12:00Oct 17, 12:00
LLLDW
DLDDW
AI Prediction
Top Pick80%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 80%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
Welwalo Adigrat18%
Draw16%
Fasil Kenema66%
Match Analysis
Fasil Kenema is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 66% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Welwalo Adigrat's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Welwalo Adigrat
VS
Fasil Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat
VS
Fasil Kenema
1.13
Goals Scored
0.75
1.13
Goals Scored
0.75
1.25
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.25
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
75%
Over 1.5
38%
75%
Over 1.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
13%
38%
Over 2.5
13%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17.10.26 | Welwalo AdigratvsFasil Kenema | 0:0 |
| 27.02.26 | Fasil KenemavsWelwalo Adigrat | 1:2 |
| 23.10.25 | Welwalo AdigratvsFasil Kenema | 0:2 |
| 03.04.25 | Welwalo AdigratvsFasil Kenema | 1:2 |
| 05.12.24 | Fasil KenemavsWelwalo Adigrat | 1:0 |
Welwalo Adigrat Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.11.26 | Welayta DichavsWelwalo Adigrat | 2:0L |
| 24.10.26 | Al Ahly TripolivsWelwalo Adigrat | 4:1L |
| 16.10.26 | Welwalo AdigratvsAl Ahly Tripoli | 0:4L |
| 09.10.26 | Halaba Ketema FCvsWelwalo Adigrat | 1:1D |
| 12.09.26 | Welwalo AdigratvsHilal Alsahil | 3:1W |
Fasil Kenema Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.10.26 | Fasil KenemavsBahir Dar Kenema | 2:2D |
| 24.10.26 | Hadiya HossanavsFasil Kenema | 1:0L |
| 20.10.26 | Halaba Ketema FCvsFasil Kenema | 1:1D |
| 10.10.26 | Welayta DichavsFasil Kenema | 0:0D |
| 01.07.26 | Fasil KenemavsEthiopian Insurance | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 2 | Mechal SC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Welayta Dicha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 5 | Halaba Ketema FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 6 | Ethiopian Insurance | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:2 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Georges | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Adama City | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Hawassa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Sheger Ketema FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Hadiya Hossana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 14 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Fasil Kenema | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Sidama Bunna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |