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EnglandChampionship 2025/2026
Feb 21, 15:00
2:0
finished
LLLLL
LWLWL

Match Events

5'
Kjerrumgaard L.
Watford
23'
🟨
Clarke M.
Derby
23'
🔄
Maamma O.
Out: Maamma O. | In: Chakvetadze G.
Watford
52'
🟨
Chakvetadze G.
Watford
55'
🟨
Elder C.
Derby
62'
🔄
Ozoh D.
Out: Ozoh D. | In: Clark B.
Derby
62'
🔄
Brewster R.
Out: Brewster R. | In: Morris C.
Derby
62'
🔄
Elder C.
Out: Elder C. | In: Murkin D.
Derby
68'
🔄
Irankunda N.
Out: Irankunda N. | In: Baah K.
Watford
68'
🔄
Kjerrumgaard L.
Out: Kjerrumgaard L. | In: Doumbia M.
Watford
78'
🔄
Brereton Diaz B.
Out: Brereton Diaz B. | In: Fraulo O.
Derby
83'
🟨
Doumbia M.
Watford
85'
🔄
Baah K.
Out: Baah K. | In: Bola M.
Watford
86'
🔄
Goglichidze S.
Out: Goglichidze S. | In: Pollock M.
Watford
90'
Doumbia M.
Watford
90'
🔄
Travis L.
Out: Travis L. | In: Allen C.
Derby

AI Prediction

Top Pick100%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 100%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1

Win Probabilities

Watford15%
Draw15%
Derby70%

Match Analysis

Derby is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 70% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Watford's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Watford
VS
Derby
0.75
Goals Scored
1.13
1.75
Goals Conceded
1
0.77
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
88%
Over 1.5
50%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
13%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
21.02.26
WatfordvsDerby
2:0
22.11.25
DerbyvsWatford
2:3
18.01.25
DerbyvsWatford
0:2
24.08.24
WatfordvsDerby
2:1
19.02.21
WatfordvsDerby
2:1

Watford Last Matches

DateMatchScore
02.05.26
WatfordvsCoventry
0:4L
25.04.26
MiddlesbroughvsWatford
5:1L
21.04.26
West BromvsWatford
3:0L
18.04.26
WatfordvsSheffield Utd
0:2L
11.04.26
Oxford UtdvsWatford
2:0L

Derby Last Matches

DateMatchScore
02.05.26
DerbyvsSheffield Utd
1:2L
25.04.26
QPRvsDerby
2:3W
21.04.26
NorwichvsDerby
2:1L
18.04.26
DerbyvsOxford Utd
1:0W
11.04.26
SouthamptonvsDerby
2:1L

Group A

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Coventry
462811797:4595
2
Ipswich
462315880:4784
3
Millwall
4624111164:4983
4
Southampton
4622141082:5680
5
Middlesbrough
4622141072:4780
6
Hull City
4621101570:6673
7
Wrexham
4619141369:6571
8
Derby
462091767:5969
9
Norwich
461981963:5665
10
Birmingham
4617131657:5664
11
Swansea
4618101857:5964
12
Bristol City
4617111859:5962
13
Sheffield Utd
461862266:6660
14
Preston
4615151655:6260
15
QPR
4616102061:7358
16
Watford
4614151753:6557
17
Stoke City
4615102151:5655
18
Portsmouth
4614131949:6455
19
Charlton
4613141944:5853
20
Blackburn
4613132042:5652
21
West Brom
4613141948:5851
22
Oxford Utd
4611142145:5947
23
Leicester
4612161858:6846
24
Sheffield Wed
462123229:890