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Uganda•Premier League
Wednesday, Jan 28, 2026, 17:00Jan 28, 17:00
LWWWW
LWLWW
Match Events
Ssebuufu F.⚽
5'
Mubiru H.⚽
10'
Atukunda T.⚽
30'
Ssemakula A.⚽
35'
Yiga N.⚽
50'
Mubiru H.⚽
55'
88'
•Kamugisha C.
5'
⚽
Ssebuufu F.
Villa
10'
⚽
Mubiru H.
Villa
30'
⚽
Atukunda T.
Villa
35'
⚽
Ssemakula A.
Villa
50'
⚽
Yiga N.
Villa
55'
⚽
Mubiru H.
Villa
88'
•
Kamugisha C.
Mbarara City
AI Prediction
Top Pick90%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 90%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 3:0.
Correct Score3:0
Win Probabilities
Villa68%
Draw15.5%
Mbarara City16.5%
Match Analysis
Villa enters this match as the clear favorite with a 68% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 3:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Villa's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Villa
VS
Mbarara City
Villa
VS
Mbarara City
1.5
Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Goals Scored
1.25
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.38
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.36
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
1.36
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
63%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 2.5
63%
25%
Over 2.5
63%
25%
Over 3.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3 |
| 28.01.26 | VillavsMbarara City | 6:1 |
| 16.04.25 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 0:2 |
| 16.09.24 | VillavsMbarara City | 4:2 |
| 30.03.24 | VillavsMbarara City | 2:1 |
Villa Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30.05.26 | KitaravsVilla | 2:1L |
| 23.05.26 | VillavsUPDF FC | 2:1W |
| 20.05.26 | NEC FCvsVilla | 1:4W |
| 16.05.26 | VillavsUganda Revenue | 1:0W |
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3W |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | Kampala CityvsMbarara City | 4:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsBuhimba | 2:0W |
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3L |
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1W |
| 28.04.26 | Mbarara CityvsExpress FC | 2:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |