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Mexico•Liga de Expansion MX
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 23:00Oct 10, 23:00
WWLWL
WWLDW
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Venados FC56%
Draw18.5%
Leones Negros25.5%
Match Analysis
Venados FC enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Venados FC's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Venados FC
VS
Leones Negros
Venados FC
VS
Leones Negros
2.5
Goals Scored
1.88
2.5
Goals Scored
1.88
2.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
2.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.98
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
1.98
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
100%
Over 1.5
100%
100%
Over 1.5
100%
100%
Over 2.5
63%
100%
Over 2.5
63%
75%
Over 3.5
50%
75%
Over 3.5
50%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.04.26 | Venados FCvsLeones Negros | 2:1 |
| 02.11.25 | Leones NegrosvsVenados FC | 1:0 |
| 19.04.25 | Leones NegrosvsVenados FC | 3:1 |
| 02.11.24 | Venados FCvsLeones Negros | 3:0 |
| 25.01.24 | Venados FCvsLeones Negros | 1:1 |
Venados FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.10.26 | Atletico La PazvsVenados FC | 1:2W |
| 26.09.26 | Venados FCvsClub Atletico Morelia | 2:1W |
| 19.09.26 | PiratasvsVenados FC | 2:1L |
| 12.09.26 | Venados FCvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 5:0W |
| 06.09.26 | Jaiba BravavsVenados FC | 4:3L |
Leones Negros Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.10.26 | Leones NegrosvsDorados de Sinaloa | 6:3W |
| 26.09.26 | Cruz Azul HidalgovsLeones Negros | 1:2W |
| 20.09.26 | Club Atletico MoreliavsLeones Negros | 2:0L |
| 13.09.26 | Leones NegrosvsAtletico La Paz | 2:2D |
| 06.09.26 | TapatiovsLeones Negros | 1:3W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |