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Netherlands•Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Saturday, Feb 21, 2026, 14:00Feb 21, 14:00
LDWWL
LWLWW
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Urk26%
Draw48%
Sportlust26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Derde Divisie 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Urk (26%) and Sportlust (26%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Urk's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Urk
VS
Sportlust
Urk
VS
Sportlust
1.4
Goals Scored
1.38
1.4
Goals Scored
1.38
1.8
Goals Conceded
2
1.8
Goals Conceded
2
1.47
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
1.47
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
100%
Over 1.5
100%
100%
Over 1.5
100%
80%
Over 2.5
63%
80%
Over 2.5
63%
20%
Over 3.5
38%
20%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26 | UrkvsSportlust | 0:0 |
| 20.09.25 | SportlustvsUrk | 3:0 |
| 22.03.25 | SportlustvsUrk | 1:2 |
| 19.10.24 | UrkvsSportlust | 0:1 |
| 21.01.23 | UrkvsSportlust | 3:0 |
Urk Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | UrkvsExcelsior 31 | 1:2L |
| 16.05.26 | HSC '21vsUrk | 1:1D |
| 09.05.26 | UrkvsADO 20 Heemskerk | 2:1W |
| 02.05.26 | Harkemase BoysvsUrk | 2:3W |
| 25.04.26 | GenemuidenvsUrk | 3:0L |
Sportlust Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.10.26 | SportlustvsExcelsior 31 | 0:3L |
| 26.09.26 | DVS '33 ErmelovsSportlust | 1:2W |
| 22.09.26 | SportlustvsExcelsior Maassluis | 0:2L |
| 19.09.26 | SportlustvsVV DOVO | 2:0W |
| 12.09.26 | HVV HollandiavsSportlust | 2:4W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Group B
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |