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Uganda•Premier League 2025/2026
Thursday, Apr 9, 2026, 13:00Apr 9, 13:00
DLDLD
DLLWL
Match Events
Ochen E.⚽
32'
36'
⚽Kanyike M.
Kigozi S.⚽
58'
Kigozi S.⚽
77'
32'
⚽
Ochen E.
UPDF FC
36'
⚽
Kanyike M.
Mbarara City
58'
⚽
Kigozi S.
UPDF FC
77'
⚽
Kigozi S.
UPDF FC
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
UPDF FC28%
Draw44%
Mbarara City28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between UPDF FC (28%) and Mbarara City (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at UPDF FC's home ground.
Scoring Trends
UPDF FC
VS
Mbarara City
UPDF FC
VS
Mbarara City
0.38
Goals Scored
0.88
0.38
Goals Scored
0.88
1.25
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.25
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.56
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
0.56
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
63%
Over 1.5
50%
63%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.04.26 | UPDF FCvsMbarara City | 3:1 |
| 03.10.25 | Mbarara CityvsUPDF FC | 0:1 |
| 17.02.25 | Mbarara CityvsUPDF FC | 0:1 |
| 06.11.24 | UPDF FCvsMbarara City | 2:1 |
| 26.04.24 | Mbarara CityvsUPDF FC | 0:0 |
UPDF FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.09.26 | PolicevsUPDF FC | 0:0D |
| 01.09.26 | Entebbe UPPCvsUPDF FC | 2:1L |
| 29.08.26 | UPDF FCvsKataka | 0:0D |
| 23.05.26 | VillavsUPDF FC | 2:1L |
| 19.05.26 | UPDF FCvsCalvary | 0:0D |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.09.26 | Mbarara CityvsNEC FC | 0:0D |
| 29.08.26 | PolicevsMbarara City | 1:0L |
| 23.05.26 | Kampala CityvsMbarara City | 4:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsBuhimba | 2:0W |
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |