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Spain•Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sunday, Mar 15, 2026, 15:30Mar 15, 15:30
WLLLW
LLLWL
Match Events
Beloki U.⚽
68'
85'
•Barron J.
88'
⚽Fernandez A.
68'
⚽
Beloki U.
UD Aretxabaleta
85'
•
Barron J.
Derio
88'
⚽
Fernandez A.
Derio
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
UD Aretxabaleta27%
Draw46%
Derio27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between UD Aretxabaleta (27%) and Derio (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at UD Aretxabaleta's home ground.
Scoring Trends
UD Aretxabaleta
VS
Derio
UD Aretxabaleta
VS
Derio
1.63
Goals Scored
1.13
1.63
Goals Scored
1.13
2.13
Goals Conceded
1.38
2.13
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.45
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
1.45
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
88%
Over 1.5
75%
88%
Over 1.5
75%
88%
Over 2.5
50%
88%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Over 3.5
25%
50%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03.26 | UD AretxabaletavsDerio | 1:2 |
| 31.10.25 | DeriovsUD Aretxabaleta | 1:0 |
| 15.03.25 | DeriovsUD Aretxabaleta | 2:0 |
| 01.11.24 | UD AretxabaletavsDerio | 0:1 |
UD Aretxabaleta Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.05.26 | UD AretxabaletavsZamudio | 3:1W |
| 03.05.26 | SanturtzivsUD Aretxabaleta | 2:1L |
| 26.04.26 | UD AretxabaletavsReal Sociedad C | 2:5L |
| 15.04.26 | PasaiavsUD Aretxabaleta | 3:2L |
| 11.04.26 | UD AretxabaletavsLagun Onak | 2:1W |
Derio Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15.07.26 | DeriovsAth Bilbao | 0:3L |
| 06.06.26 | LeioavsDerio | 1:0L |
| 31.05.26 | DeriovsLeioa | 0:1L |
| 24.05.26 | DeriovsLagun Onak | 2:0W |
| 17.05.26 | Lagun OnakvsDerio | 2:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |