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Match Events
88'
⚽Omondi D.
88'
⚽
Omondi D.
Mara Sugar
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Tusker58%
Draw18%
Mara Sugar24%
Match Analysis
Tusker enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tusker's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tusker
VS
Mara Sugar
Tusker
VS
Mara Sugar
0.75
Goals Scored
0.75
0.75
Goals Scored
0.75
0.5
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.5
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.66
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
0.66
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
25%
Over 1.5
25%
25%
Over 1.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24.04.26 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 0:1 |
| 29.11.25 | Mara SugarvsTusker | 0:1 |
| 06.04.25 | Mara SugarvsTusker | 1:1 |
| 27.11.24 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 2:1 |
| 18.09.22 | Mara SugarvsTusker | 1:2 |
Tusker Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.06.26 | TuskervsPolice FC | 2:1W |
| 31.05.26 | TuskervsAPS Bomet | 1:1D |
| 27.05.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsTusker | 2:0L |
| 24.05.26 | BandarivsTusker | 1:0L |
| 16.05.26 | TuskervsKCB | 1:0W |
Mara Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | MurangavsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0D |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1L |
| 13.05.26 | Mara SugarvsShabana | 1:0W |
| 09.05.26 | LeopardsvsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |