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Kenya•Premier League 2025/2026
Friday, Apr 24, 2026, 11:00Apr 24, 11:00
WDWWL
LDLWL
Match Events
88'
⚽Omondi D.
88'
⚽
Omondi D.
Mara Sugar
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Tusker58%
Draw18%
Mara Sugar24%
Match Analysis
Tusker enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tusker's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tusker
VS
Mara Sugar
Tusker
VS
Mara Sugar
1
Goals Scored
0.17
1
Goals Scored
0.17
1.13
Goals Conceded
0.33
1.13
Goals Conceded
0.33
0.74
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
0.74
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
75%
Over 1.5
17%
75%
Over 1.5
17%
25%
Over 2.5
17%
25%
Over 2.5
17%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24.04.26 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 0:1 |
| 29.11.25 | Mara SugarvsTusker | 0:1 |
| 06.04.25 | Mara SugarvsTusker | 1:1 |
| 27.11.24 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 2:1 |
| 18.09.22 | Mara SugarvsTusker | 1:2 |
Tusker Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | TuskervsMadani | 1:0W |
| 06.09.26 | MadanivsTusker | 2:2D |
| 23.08.26 | MahiavsTusker | 1:3W |
| 01.08.26 | TuskervsKVZ | 2:0W |
| 29.07.26 | TuskervsRayon Sport | 0:1L |
Mara Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | MurangavsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0D |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1L |
| 13.05.26 | Mara SugarvsShabana | 1:0W |
| 09.05.26 | LeopardsvsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |