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Match Events
Adikiny F.⚽
43'
Kapaito E.⚽
70'
Etyang S.⚽
78'
88'
•
43'
⚽
Adikiny F.
Tusker
70'
⚽
Kapaito E.
Tusker
78'
⚽
Etyang S.
Tusker
88'
•
Mara Sugar
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Tusker60%
Draw17.5%
Mara Sugar22.5%
Match Analysis
Tusker enters this match as the clear favorite with a 60% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tusker's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tusker
VS
Mara Sugar
Tusker
VS
Mara Sugar
1.13
Goals Scored
0.83
1.13
Goals Scored
0.83
0.88
Goals Conceded
1
0.88
Goals Conceded
1
1.01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
1.01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
63%
Over 1.5
50%
63%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
50%
25%
Over 3.5
33%
25%
Over 3.5
33%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.11.26 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 3:1 |
| 24.04.26 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 0:1 |
| 29.11.25 | Mara SugarvsTusker | 0:1 |
| 06.04.25 | Mara SugarvsTusker | 1:1 |
| 27.11.24 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 2:1 |
Tusker Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.11.26 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 3:1W |
| 29.10.26 | Mathare UnitedvsTusker | 2:1L |
| 25.10.26 | Singida Black StarsvsTusker | 1:1D |
| 18.10.26 | TuskervsSingida Black Stars | 0:1L |
| 11.10.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsTusker | 0:2W |
Mara Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.11.26 | TuskervsMara Sugar | 3:1L |
| 28.10.26 | Mara SugarvsLeopards | 0:0D |
| 24.10.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsMara Sugar | 0:0D |
| 19.10.26 | Mara SugarvsMombasa United | 2:1W |
| 11.10.26 | 3K FCvsMara Sugar | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Police FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 5 | 3K FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 6 | Muranga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 7 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Migori | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 9 | APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Shabana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Bandari | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 17 | Posta Rangers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |