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Match Events
Mwakasaba J.⚽
16'
16'
⚽
Mwakasaba J.
Tusker
AI Prediction
Top Pick60%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 60%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Tusker21%
Draw17%
Mahia62%
Match Analysis
Mahia is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 62% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tusker's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tusker
VS
Mahia
Tusker
VS
Mahia
0.75
Goals Scored
1.38
0.75
Goals Scored
1.38
1
Goals Conceded
0.5
1
Goals Conceded
0.5
0.63
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
0.63
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
63%
Over 1.5
38%
63%
Over 1.5
38%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.04.26 | TuskervsMahia | 1:0 |
| 22.11.25 | MahiavsTusker | 1:0 |
| 16.02.25 | MahiavsTusker | 0:0 |
| 19.01.25 | TuskervsMahia | 2:1 |
| 20.01.24 | MahiavsTusker | 1:0 |
Tusker Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | TuskervsKVZ | 2:0W |
| 29.07.26 | TuskervsRayon Sport | 0:1L |
| 26.07.26 | Al-Hilal OmdurmanvsTusker | 2:0L |
| 14.06.26 | TuskervsPolice FC | 2:1W |
| 31.05.26 | TuskervsAPS Bomet | 1:1D |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.08.26 | MahiavsAl-Hilal Omdurman | 2:1W |
| 30.07.26 | MahiavsGarde Republicaine | 1:0W |
| 27.07.26 | MahiavsVipers | 0:1L |
| 24.07.26 | APRvsMahia | 0:5W |
| 31.05.26 | MahiavsNairobi United | 0:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |