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Match Events
Mwakasaba J.⚽
16'
16'
⚽
Mwakasaba J.
Tusker
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 0:0.
Correct Score0:0
Win Probabilities
Tusker26%
Draw48%
Mahia26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Tusker (26%) and Mahia (26%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tusker's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tusker
VS
Mahia
Tusker
VS
Mahia
0.88
Goals Scored
0.75
0.88
Goals Scored
0.75
0.38
Goals Conceded
0.38
0.38
Goals Conceded
0.38
0.68
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
0.68
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
25%
Over 1.5
25%
25%
Over 1.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
13%
13%
Over 2.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.04.26 | TuskervsMahia | 1:0 |
| 22.11.25 | MahiavsTusker | 1:0 |
| 16.02.25 | MahiavsTusker | 0:0 |
| 19.01.25 | TuskervsMahia | 2:1 |
| 20.01.24 | MahiavsTusker | 1:0 |
Tusker Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.06.26 | TuskervsPolice FC | 2:1W |
| 31.05.26 | TuskervsAPS Bomet | 1:1D |
| 27.05.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsTusker | 2:0L |
| 24.05.26 | BandarivsTusker | 1:0L |
| 16.05.26 | TuskervsKCB | 1:0W |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | MahiavsNairobi United | 0:1L |
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0D |
| 17.05.26 | MurangavsMahia | 1:3W |
| 10.05.26 | MahiavsPolice FC | 1:1D |
| 03.05.26 | Kakamega HomeboyzvsMahia | 0:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |