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Australia & Oceania•OFC Nations Cup
Mar 20, 01:00
1:4
finished
LWLLL
LLLWW

Match Events

11'
•
Tumua D.
Samoa
45'
âš½
Viliamu N.
Samoa
46'
🔄
Tau'aika Sonasi B.
Out: Tau'aika Sonasi B. | In: Fifita A.
Tonga
46'
🔄
Tu'amoheloa D. S.
Out: Tu'amoheloa D. S. | In: Tai V.
Tonga
46'
🔄
Feke L. P. H. L.
Out: Feke L. P. H. L. | In: Papani K.
Tonga
54'
🟨
Mariner D.
Samoa
61'
âš½
Viliamu N.
Samoa
63'
🔄
Tanielu X.
Out: Tanielu X. | In: Taualai V.
Samoa
63'
🔄
Kwan A.
Out: Kwan A. | In: Leiataua A.
Samoa
73'
🔄
Sonasi U.
Out: Sonasi U. | In: Taufa L.
Tonga
74'
🔄
Viliamu N.
Out: Viliamu N. | In: Stowers E. L.
Samoa
74'
🔄
Mariner D.
Out: Mariner D. | In: Fasi R.
Samoa
82'
🔄
Salisbury L. L. M.
Out: Salisbury L. L. M. | In: Smith P.
Samoa
88'
🔄
Lutu V.
Out: Lutu V. | In: Naniseni P.
Tonga
90'
âš½
Stowers E. L.
Samoa
90'
🟨
Rajani M.
Tonga
90'
âš½
Kite K.
Tonga
90'
🟨
Stowers E. L.
Samoa

AI Prediction

Top Pick100%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 100%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1

Win Probabilities

Tonga70%
Draw15%
Samoa15%

Match Analysis

Tonga enters this match as the clear favorite with a 70% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tonga's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Tonga
VS
Samoa
1.38
Goals Scored
2.63
3.13
Goals Conceded
2
1.46
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
88%
Over 1.5
88%
88%
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Over 3.5
38%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
09.09.24
TongavsSamoa
1:2
20.03.24
TongavsSamoa
1:4
12.07.19
SamoavsTonga
2:0
04.09.15
TongavsSamoa
0:3
25.11.11
SamoavsTonga
1:1

Tonga Last Matches

DateMatchScore
09.09.24
TongavsSamoa
1:2L
05.09.24
Cook IslandsvsTonga
1:3W
31.08.24
BavsTonga
4:0L
26.03.24
Cook IslandsvsTonga
1:0L
20.03.24
TongavsSamoa
1:4L

Samoa Last Matches

DateMatchScore
18.11.24
SamoavsNew Zealand
0:8L
15.11.24
SamoavsTahiti
0:3L
12.10.24
VanuatuvsSamoa
4:1L
09.09.24
TongavsSamoa
1:2W
06.09.24
American SamoavsSamoa
0:2W

Group A

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Samoa
22005:16
2
Cook Islands
21011:13
3
Tonga
20021:50