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Match Events
8'
âš½Valencia E.
41'
🟨Bautista A.
Cordova S.🔄
Out: Cordova S. In: Paulinho
60'
Angulo J.🔄
Out: Angulo J. In: Castro N.
60'
Barbosa D.🔄
Out: Barbosa D. In: Simon S.
60'
64'
🔄Idrissi O.
Out: Idrissi O. In: Dominguez A.
75'
🔄Sanchez C.
Out: Sanchez C. In: Lopez Aburto R.
Perez P.🔄
Out: Perez P. In: Rossi F.
75'
Alvarez A.🟨
76'
Alvarez A.🔄
Out: Alvarez A. In: Isais M.
82'
90'
🔄Montiel E.
Out: Montiel E. In: Rodriguez S.
90'
🔄Kenedy R.
Out: Kenedy R. In: Berlanga J.
Mohamed A.🟨
90'
90'
🟨Rodriguez S.
8'
âš½
Valencia E.
Pachuca
41'
🟨
Bautista A.
Pachuca
60'
🔄
Cordova S.
Out: Cordova S. | In: Paulinho
Toluca
60'
🔄
Angulo J.
Out: Angulo J. | In: Castro N.
Toluca
60'
🔄
Barbosa D.
Out: Barbosa D. | In: Simon S.
Toluca
64'
🔄
Idrissi O.
Out: Idrissi O. | In: Dominguez A.
Pachuca
75'
🔄
Sanchez C.
Out: Sanchez C. | In: Lopez Aburto R.
Pachuca
75'
🔄
Perez P.
Out: Perez P. | In: Rossi F.
Toluca
76'
🟨
Alvarez A.
Toluca
82'
🔄
Alvarez A.
Out: Alvarez A. | In: Isais M.
Toluca
90'
🔄
Montiel E.
Out: Montiel E. | In: Rodriguez S.
Pachuca
90'
🔄
Kenedy R.
Out: Kenedy R. | In: Berlanga J.
Pachuca
90'
🟨
Mohamed A.
Toluca
90'
🟨
Rodriguez S.
Pachuca
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Toluca28%
Draw44%
Pachuca28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Liga MX 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Toluca (28%) and Pachuca (28%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Toluca's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Toluca
VS
Pachuca
Toluca
VS
Pachuca
1.63
Goals Scored
1.25
1.63
Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
1.24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
88%
Over 1.5
50%
88%
Over 1.5
50%
63%
Over 2.5
38%
63%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 3.5
13%
38%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.05.26 | PachucavsToluca | 2:0 |
| 04.05.26 | TolucavsPachuca | 0:1 |
| 22.03.26 | PachucavsToluca | 1:1 |
| 27.10.25 | TolucavsPachuca | 2:2 |
| 29.03.25 | TolucavsPachuca | 3:2 |
Toluca Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.08.26 | TolucavsNecaxa | 3:1W |
| 26.07.26 | TolucavsCruz Azul | 1:3L |
| 22.07.26 | TolucavsUNAM Pumas | 1:2L |
| 19.07.26 | Guadalajara ChivasvsToluca | 0:2W |
| 10.07.26 | AtlantevsToluca | 3:3D |
Pachuca Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.08.26 | Club LeonvsPachuca | 1:0L |
| 27.07.26 | PachucavsQueretaro | 1:2L |
| 18.07.26 | UNAM PumasvsPachuca | 0:3W |
| 04.07.26 | PachucavsPuebla | 3:1W |
| 18.05.26 | UNAM PumasvsPachuca | 1:0L |