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Mexico•Liga MX 2025/2026
May 4, 01:15
0:1
finished
WLWLL
LWWWL

Match Events

8'
âš½
Valencia E.
Pachuca
41'
🟨
Bautista A.
Pachuca
60'
🔄
Cordova S.
Out: Cordova S. | In: Paulinho
Toluca
60'
🔄
Angulo J.
Out: Angulo J. | In: Castro N.
Toluca
60'
🔄
Barbosa D.
Out: Barbosa D. | In: Simon S.
Toluca
64'
🔄
Idrissi O.
Out: Idrissi O. | In: Dominguez A.
Pachuca
75'
🔄
Sanchez C.
Out: Sanchez C. | In: Lopez R.
Pachuca
75'
🔄
Perez P.
Out: Perez P. | In: Rossi F.
Toluca
76'
🟨
Alvarez A.
Toluca
82'
🔄
Alvarez A.
Out: Alvarez A. | In: Isais M.
Toluca
90'
🔄
Montiel E.
Out: Montiel E. | In: Rodriguez S.
Pachuca
90'
🔄
Kenedy R.
Out: Kenedy R. | In: Berlanga J.
Pachuca
90'
🟨
Mohamed A.
Toluca
90'
🟨
Rodriguez S.
Pachuca

AI Prediction

Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1

Win Probabilities

Toluca64%
Draw16.5%
Pachuca19.5%

Match Analysis

Toluca enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Toluca's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Toluca
VS
Pachuca
2.13
Goals Scored
1.75
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.73
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
88%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 3.5
38%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
10.05.26
PachucavsToluca
2:0
04.05.26
TolucavsPachuca
0:1
22.03.26
PachucavsToluca
1:1
27.10.25
TolucavsPachuca
2:2
29.03.25
TolucavsPachuca
3:2

Toluca Last Matches

DateMatchScore
31.05.26
TolucavsTigres UANL
2:1W
10.05.26
PachucavsToluca
2:0L
07.05.26
TolucavsLos Angeles FC
4:0W
04.05.26
TolucavsPachuca
0:1L
30.04.26
Los Angeles FCvsToluca
2:1L

Pachuca Last Matches

DateMatchScore
18.05.26
UNAM PumasvsPachuca
1:0L
15.05.26
PachucavsUNAM Pumas
1:0W
10.05.26
PachucavsToluca
2:0W
04.05.26
TolucavsPachuca
0:1W
25.04.26
PachucavsUNAM Pumas
0:2L