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Mexico•Liga MX 2025/2026
May 4, 01:15
0:1
finished
WDWLW
DLWLL

Match Events

8'
âš½
Valencia E.
Pachuca
41'
🟨
Bautista A.
Pachuca
60'
🔄
Cordova S.
Out: Cordova S. | In: Paulinho
Toluca
60'
🔄
Angulo J.
Out: Angulo J. | In: Castro N.
Toluca
60'
🔄
Barbosa D.
Out: Barbosa D. | In: Simon S.
Toluca
64'
🔄
Idrissi O.
Out: Idrissi O. | In: Dominguez A.
Pachuca
75'
🔄
Sanchez C.
Out: Sanchez C. | In: Lopez Aburto R.
Pachuca
75'
🔄
Perez P.
Out: Perez P. | In: Rossi F.
Toluca
76'
🟨
Alvarez A.
Toluca
82'
🔄
Alvarez A.
Out: Alvarez A. | In: Isais M.
Toluca
90'
🔄
Montiel E.
Out: Montiel E. | In: Rodriguez S.
Pachuca
90'
🔄
Kenedy R.
Out: Kenedy R. | In: Berlanga J.
Pachuca
90'
🟨
Mohamed A.
Toluca
90'
🟨
Rodriguez S.
Pachuca

AI Prediction

Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1

Win Probabilities

Toluca64%
Draw16.5%
Pachuca19.5%

Match Analysis

Toluca enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Toluca's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Toluca
VS
Pachuca
1.63
Goals Scored
1.25
1
Goals Conceded
1.5
1.48
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
75%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Over 3.5
25%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
10.05.26
PachucavsToluca
2:0
04.05.26
TolucavsPachuca
0:1
22.03.26
PachucavsToluca
1:1
27.10.25
TolucavsPachuca
2:2
29.03.25
TolucavsPachuca
3:2

Toluca Last Matches

DateMatchScore
22.08.26
QueretarovsToluca
1:2W
15.08.26
AtlantevsToluca
0:0D
13.08.26
TolucavsFC Dallas
3:1W
09.08.26
TolucavsLos Angeles FC
0:1L
06.08.26
TolucavsSeattle Sounders
3:0W

Pachuca Last Matches

DateMatchScore
23.08.26
Atletico San LuisvsPachuca
1:1D
18.08.26
PachucavsPuebla
2:3L
11.08.26
Charlotte FCvsPachuca
0:1W
07.08.26
Columbus CrewvsPachuca
2:1L
04.08.26
FC CincinnativsPachuca
3:1L