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Mexico•Liga MX 2025/2026
Saturday, Feb 28, 2026, 23:00Feb 28, 23:00
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Match Events
Gallardo J.•
5'
Romero F.🟨
13'
Diaz J.⚽
16'
40'
🔄Romo L.
Out: Romo L. In: Gutierrez B.
Barbosa D.🟨
45'
Simon S.🔄
Out: Simon S. In: del Villar E.
46'
46'
🔄Castillo J.
Out: Castillo J. In: Sandoval S.
46'
🔄Alvarez E.
Out: Alvarez E. In: Sepulveda A.
46'
🔄Ledezma R.
Out: Ledezma R. In: Camberos H.
Gallardo J.🟨
51'
53'
🟨Gonzalez F.
60'
🔄Gonzalez A.
Out: Gonzalez A. In: Marin R.
64'
🟨Aguirre D.
67'
🟨Sepulveda A.
Diaz J.🔄
Out: Diaz J. In: Helinho
71'
Angulo J.🔄
Out: Angulo J. In: Perez P.
75'
Ruiz M.🟨
90'
Gallardo J.🔄
Out: Gallardo J. In: Luan
90'
Ruiz M.🔄
Out: Ruiz M. In: Arce F.
90'
5'
•
Gallardo J.
Toluca
13'
🟨
Romero F.
Toluca
16'
⚽
Diaz J.
Toluca
40'
🔄
Romo L.
Out: Romo L. | In: Gutierrez B.
Guadalajara Chivas
45'
🟨
Barbosa D.
Toluca
46'
🔄
Simon S.
Out: Simon S. | In: del Villar E.
Toluca
46'
🔄
Castillo J.
Out: Castillo J. | In: Sandoval S.
Guadalajara Chivas
46'
🔄
Alvarez E.
Out: Alvarez E. | In: Sepulveda A.
Guadalajara Chivas
46'
🔄
Ledezma R.
Out: Ledezma R. | In: Camberos H.
Guadalajara Chivas
51'
🟨
Gallardo J.
Toluca
53'
🟨
Gonzalez F.
Guadalajara Chivas
60'
🔄
Gonzalez A.
Out: Gonzalez A. | In: Marin R.
Guadalajara Chivas
64'
🟨
Aguirre D.
Guadalajara Chivas
67'
🟨
Sepulveda A.
Guadalajara Chivas
71'
🔄
Diaz J.
Out: Diaz J. | In: Helinho
Toluca
75'
🔄
Angulo J.
Out: Angulo J. | In: Perez P.
Toluca
90'
🟨
Ruiz M.
Toluca
90'
🔄
Gallardo J.
Out: Gallardo J. | In: Luan
Toluca
90'
🔄
Ruiz M.
Out: Ruiz M. | In: Arce F.
Toluca
AI Prediction
Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Toluca64%
Draw16.5%
Guadalajara Chivas19.5%
Match Analysis
Toluca enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Toluca's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
2.13
Goals Scored
1.63
2.13
Goals Scored
1.63
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.77
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
1.77
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
88%
Over 1.5
75%
88%
Over 1.5
75%
75%
Over 2.5
63%
75%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Over 3.5
63%
38%
Over 3.5
63%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | TolucavsGuadalajara Chivas | 2:0 |
| 21.09.25 | Guadalajara ChivasvsToluca | 0:3 |
| 16.02.25 | TolucavsGuadalajara Chivas | 2:1 |
| 07.07.24 | Guadalajara ChivasvsToluca | 0:0 |
| 12.05.24 | TolucavsGuadalajara Chivas | 0:0 |
Toluca Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | TolucavsTigres UANL | 2:1W |
| 10.05.26 | PachucavsToluca | 2:0L |
| 07.05.26 | TolucavsLos Angeles FC | 4:0W |
| 04.05.26 | TolucavsPachuca | 0:1L |
| 30.04.26 | Los Angeles FCvsToluca | 2:1L |
Guadalajara Chivas Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17.05.26 | Guadalajara ChivasvsCruz Azul | 1:2L |
| 14.05.26 | Cruz AzulvsGuadalajara Chivas | 2:2D |
| 10.05.26 | Guadalajara ChivasvsTigres UANL | 2:0W |
| 03.05.26 | Tigres UANLvsGuadalajara Chivas | 3:1L |
| 26.04.26 | Guadalajara ChivasvsClub Tijuana | 0:0D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | 12 |