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Mexico•Liga MX 2025/2026
Saturday, Feb 28, 2026, 23:00Feb 28, 23:00
LWLWL
DLDWL
Match Events
Gallardo J.•
5'
Romero F.🟨
13'
Diaz Price J.⚽
16'
40'
🔄Romo L.
Out: Romo L. In: Gutierrez B.
Barbosa D.🟨
45'
Simon S.🔄
Out: Simon S. In: del Villar E.
46'
46'
🔄Castillo J.
Out: Castillo J. In: Sandoval S.
46'
🔄Alvarez E.
Out: Alvarez E. In: Sepulveda A.
46'
🔄Ledezma R.
Out: Ledezma R. In: Camberos H.
Gallardo J.🟨
51'
53'
🟨Gonzalez F.
60'
🔄Gonzalez A.
Out: Gonzalez A. In: Marin R.
64'
🟨Aguirre D.
67'
🟨Sepulveda A.
Diaz Price J.🔄
Out: Diaz Price J. In: Helinho
71'
Angulo J.🔄
Out: Angulo J. In: Perez P.
75'
Ruiz M.🟨
90'
Gallardo J.🔄
Out: Gallardo J. In: Luan
90'
Ruiz M.🔄
Out: Ruiz M. In: Arce F.
90'
5'
•
Gallardo J.
Toluca
13'
🟨
Romero F.
Toluca
16'
⚽
Diaz Price J.
Toluca
40'
🔄
Romo L.
Out: Romo L. | In: Gutierrez B.
Guadalajara Chivas
45'
🟨
Barbosa D.
Toluca
46'
🔄
Simon S.
Out: Simon S. | In: del Villar E.
Toluca
46'
🔄
Castillo J.
Out: Castillo J. | In: Sandoval S.
Guadalajara Chivas
46'
🔄
Alvarez E.
Out: Alvarez E. | In: Sepulveda A.
Guadalajara Chivas
46'
🔄
Ledezma R.
Out: Ledezma R. | In: Camberos H.
Guadalajara Chivas
51'
🟨
Gallardo J.
Toluca
53'
🟨
Gonzalez F.
Guadalajara Chivas
60'
🔄
Gonzalez A.
Out: Gonzalez A. | In: Marin R.
Guadalajara Chivas
64'
🟨
Aguirre D.
Guadalajara Chivas
67'
🟨
Sepulveda A.
Guadalajara Chivas
71'
🔄
Diaz Price J.
Out: Diaz Price J. | In: Helinho
Toluca
75'
🔄
Angulo J.
Out: Angulo J. | In: Perez P.
Toluca
90'
🟨
Ruiz M.
Toluca
90'
🔄
Gallardo J.
Out: Gallardo J. | In: Luan
Toluca
90'
🔄
Ruiz M.
Out: Ruiz M. | In: Arce F.
Toluca
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Toluca58%
Draw18%
Guadalajara Chivas24%
Match Analysis
Toluca enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Toluca's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
2
Goals Scored
1.38
2
Goals Scored
1.38
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.88
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.88
1.55
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
1.55
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
88%
Over 1.5
63%
88%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 2.5
50%
75%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 3.5
38%
38%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | TolucavsGuadalajara Chivas | 2:0 |
| 21.09.25 | Guadalajara ChivasvsToluca | 0:3 |
| 16.02.25 | TolucavsGuadalajara Chivas | 2:1 |
| 07.07.24 | Guadalajara ChivasvsToluca | 0:0 |
| 12.05.24 | TolucavsGuadalajara Chivas | 0:0 |
Toluca Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.07.26 | CancunvsToluca | 1:0L |
| 31.05.26 | TolucavsTigres UANL | 2:1W |
| 10.05.26 | PachucavsToluca | 2:0L |
| 07.05.26 | TolucavsLos Angeles FC | 4:0W |
| 04.05.26 | TolucavsPachuca | 0:1L |
Guadalajara Chivas Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.07.26 | CorrecaminosvsGuadalajara Chivas | 0:0D |
| 17.05.26 | Guadalajara ChivasvsCruz Azul | 1:2L |
| 14.05.26 | Cruz AzulvsGuadalajara Chivas | 2:2D |
| 10.05.26 | Guadalajara ChivasvsTigres UANL | 2:0W |
| 03.05.26 | Tigres UANLvsGuadalajara Chivas | 3:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | 12 |