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Kazakhstan•Premier League
Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00May 9, 15:00
WLLLW
LLWWL
Match Events
43'
🔄Poe J.
Out: Poe J. In: Baybosynov N.
Asrankulov R.🟥
45'
Zhumat D.🔄
Out: Zhumat D. In: Zuev A.
46'
Milovanovic U.⚽
52'
61'
🔄Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. In: Agimanov T.
61'
🔄Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. In: Shvyrev V.
74'
🔄Nechayev D.
Out: Nechayev D. In: Nyrkov D.
74'
🔄Zharynbetov S.
Out: Zharynbetov S. In: Omatay M.
Zhumashev Z.🔄
Out: Zhumashev Z. In: Marat D.
80'
90'
🟨Agimanov T.
90'
🟨Turlybek M.
Busurmanov S.🟨
90'
Tagybergen A.🔄
Out: Tagybergen A. In: Talal A.
90'
Zhagorov N.🔄
Out: Zhagorov N. In: Kalmyrza M.
90'
43'
🔄
Poe J.
Out: Poe J. | In: Baybosynov N.
Ertis Pavlodar
45'
🟥
Asrankulov R.
Tobol
46'
🔄
Zhumat D.
Out: Zhumat D. | In: Zuev A.
Tobol
52'
⚽
Milovanovic U.
Tobol
61'
🔄
Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. | In: Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
61'
🔄
Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. | In: Shvyrev V.
Ertis Pavlodar
74'
🔄
Nechayev D.
Out: Nechayev D. | In: Nyrkov D.
Ertis Pavlodar
74'
🔄
Zharynbetov S.
Out: Zharynbetov S. | In: Omatay M.
Ertis Pavlodar
80'
🔄
Zhumashev Z.
Out: Zhumashev Z. | In: Marat D.
Tobol
90'
🟨
Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟨
Turlybek M.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟨
Busurmanov S.
Tobol
90'
🔄
Tagybergen A.
Out: Tagybergen A. | In: Talal A.
Tobol
90'
🔄
Zhagorov N.
Out: Zhagorov N. | In: Kalmyrza M.
Tobol
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Tobol28%
Draw44%
Ertis Pavlodar28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Tobol (28%) and Ertis Pavlodar (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tobol's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tobol
VS
Ertis Pavlodar
Tobol
VS
Ertis Pavlodar
1
Goals Scored
0.75
1
Goals Scored
0.75
1.25
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.25
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.97
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
0.97
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
75%
Over 1.5
50%
75%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2 |
| 09.05.26 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0 |
| 15.08.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 18.07.20 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0 |
| 05.05.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
Tobol Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2W |
| 13.08.26 | TobolvsPartizan | 1:2L |
| 06.08.26 | PartizanvsTobol | 3:0L |
| 02.08.26 | OrdabasyvsTobol | 2:0L |
| 30.07.26 | TobolvsFK Panevezys | 2:1W |
Ertis Pavlodar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2L |
| 09.08.26 | Yelimay SemeyvsErtis Pavlodar | 3:1L |
| 01.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsKaspij Aktau | 3:2W |
| 25.07.26 | UlytauvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:2W |
| 11.07.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsZhenis | 0:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 43:16 | 52 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:15 | 48 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 34:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 32:29 | 36 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 35 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31:26 | 32 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 18:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21:24 | 26 |
| 9 | Tobol | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23:28 | 25 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 24:31 | 23 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 24:32 | 23 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 16:24 | 20 |
| 14 | Altai | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | 19 |
| 15 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24:38 | 19 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | 17 |