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Kazakhstan•Premier League
Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00May 9, 15:00
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Match Events
43'
🔄Poe J.
Out: Poe J. In: Baybosynov N.
Asrankulov R.🟥
45'
Zhumat D.🔄
Out: Zhumat D. In: Zuev A.
46'
Milovanovic U.⚽
52'
61'
🔄Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. In: Agimanov T.
61'
🔄Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. In: Shvyrev V.
74'
🔄Nechaev D.
Out: Nechaev D. In: Nyrkov D.
74'
🔄Zharynbetov S.
Out: Zharynbetov S. In: Omatay M.
Zhumashev Z.🔄
Out: Zhumashev Z. In: Marat D.
80'
90'
🟨Agimanov T.
90'
🟨Turlybek M.
Busurmanov S.🟨
90'
Tagybergen A.🔄
Out: Tagybergen A. In: Talal A.
90'
Zhagorov N.🔄
Out: Zhagorov N. In: Kalmyrza M.
90'
43'
🔄
Poe J.
Out: Poe J. | In: Baybosynov N.
Ertis Pavlodar
45'
🟥
Asrankulov R.
Tobol
46'
🔄
Zhumat D.
Out: Zhumat D. | In: Zuev A.
Tobol
52'
⚽
Milovanovic U.
Tobol
61'
🔄
Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. | In: Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
61'
🔄
Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. | In: Shvyrev V.
Ertis Pavlodar
74'
🔄
Nechaev D.
Out: Nechaev D. | In: Nyrkov D.
Ertis Pavlodar
74'
🔄
Zharynbetov S.
Out: Zharynbetov S. | In: Omatay M.
Ertis Pavlodar
80'
🔄
Zhumashev Z.
Out: Zhumashev Z. | In: Marat D.
Tobol
90'
🟨
Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟨
Turlybek M.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟨
Busurmanov S.
Tobol
90'
🔄
Tagybergen A.
Out: Tagybergen A. | In: Talal A.
Tobol
90'
🔄
Zhagorov N.
Out: Zhagorov N. | In: Kalmyrza M.
Tobol
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Tobol27%
Draw46%
Ertis Pavlodar27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Tobol (27%) and Ertis Pavlodar (27%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tobol's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tobol
VS
Ertis Pavlodar
Tobol
VS
Ertis Pavlodar
1
Goals Scored
0.75
1
Goals Scored
0.75
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.5
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.5
1.07
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
1.07
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
75%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 2.5
38%
63%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.05.26 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0 |
| 15.08.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 18.07.20 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0 |
| 05.05.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 17.08.19 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
Tobol Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.06.26 | OkzhetpesvsTobol | 2:1L |
| 13.06.26 | TobolvsKyzylzhar | 2:0W |
| 28.05.26 | AtyrauvsTobol | 1:1D |
| 23.05.26 | TobolvsOrdabasy | 0:3L |
| 17.05.26 | Kaisar KyzylordavsTobol | 2:1L |
Ertis Pavlodar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20.06.26 | ZhenisvsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0D |
| 14.06.26 | FC AstanavsErtis Pavlodar | 2:0L |
| 27.05.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsUlytau | 1:1D |
| 22.05.26 | Kaspij AktauvsErtis Pavlodar | 2:2D |
| 16.05.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsYelimay Semey | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 26:9 | 34 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 26:11 | 33 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 4 | Ulytau | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:13 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Astana | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Yelimay Semey | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 8 | Atyrau | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 11:9 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Tobol | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Ertis Pavlodar | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Altai | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:19 | 8 |