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Kazakhstan•Premier League
Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00May 9, 15:00
LWLWD
DLDLD
Match Events
43'
🔄Poe J.
Out: Poe J. In: Baybosynov N.
Asrankulov R.🟥
45'
Zhumat D.🔄
Out: Zhumat D. In: Zuev A.
46'
Milovanovic U.⚽
52'
61'
🔄Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. In: Agimanov T.
61'
🔄Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. In: Shvyrev V.
74'
🔄Nechaev D.
Out: Nechaev D. In: Nyrkov D.
74'
🔄Zharynbetov S.
Out: Zharynbetov S. In: Omatay M.
Zhumashev Z.🔄
Out: Zhumashev Z. In: Marat D.
80'
90'
🟨Agimanov T.
90'
🟨Turlybek M.
Busurmanov S.🟨
90'
Tagybergen A.🔄
Out: Tagybergen A. In: Talal A.
90'
Zhagorov N.🔄
Out: Zhagorov N. In: Kalmyrza M.
90'
43'
🔄
Poe J.
Out: Poe J. | In: Baybosynov N.
Ertis Pavlodar
45'
🟥
Asrankulov R.
Tobol
46'
🔄
Zhumat D.
Out: Zhumat D. | In: Zuev A.
Tobol
52'
⚽
Milovanovic U.
Tobol
61'
🔄
Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. | In: Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
61'
🔄
Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. | In: Shvyrev V.
Ertis Pavlodar
74'
🔄
Nechaev D.
Out: Nechaev D. | In: Nyrkov D.
Ertis Pavlodar
74'
🔄
Zharynbetov S.
Out: Zharynbetov S. | In: Omatay M.
Ertis Pavlodar
80'
🔄
Zhumashev Z.
Out: Zhumashev Z. | In: Marat D.
Tobol
90'
🟨
Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟨
Turlybek M.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟨
Busurmanov S.
Tobol
90'
🔄
Tagybergen A.
Out: Tagybergen A. | In: Talal A.
Tobol
90'
🔄
Zhagorov N.
Out: Zhagorov N. | In: Kalmyrza M.
Tobol
AI Prediction
Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Tobol64%
Draw16.5%
Ertis Pavlodar19.5%
Match Analysis
Tobol enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tobol's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tobol
VS
Ertis Pavlodar
Tobol
VS
Ertis Pavlodar
0.88
Goals Scored
0.75
0.88
Goals Scored
0.75
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.38
0.96
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
0.96
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
75%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 1.5
63%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.05.26 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0 |
| 15.08.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 18.07.20 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0 |
| 05.05.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 17.08.19 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
Tobol Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.07.26 | AltaivsTobol | 1:0L |
| 28.06.26 | TobolvsAltai | 3:1W |
| 21.06.26 | OkzhetpesvsTobol | 2:1L |
| 13.06.26 | TobolvsKyzylzhar | 2:0W |
| 28.05.26 | AtyrauvsTobol | 1:1D |
Ertis Pavlodar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05.07.26 | Kaisar KyzylordavsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0D |
| 28.06.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsKaisar Kyzylorda | 1:2L |
| 20.06.26 | ZhenisvsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0D |
| 14.06.26 | FC AstanavsErtis Pavlodar | 2:0L |
| 27.05.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsUlytau | 1:1D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 28:9 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 6 | Aktobe | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 10 | Zhenis | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | 15 |
| 14 | Kaspij Aktau | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 15 | Altai | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 14:21 | 11 |