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Kazakhstan•Premier League
Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00May 9, 15:00
LWWDD
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Match Events
43'
🔄Poe J.
Out: Poe J. In: Baybosynov N.
Asrankulov R.🟥
45'
Zhumat D.🔄
Out: Zhumat D. In: Zuev A.
46'
Milovanovic U.⚽
52'
61'
🔄Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. In: Agimanov T.
61'
🔄Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. In: Shvyrev V.
74'
🔄Nechayev D.
Out: Nechayev D. In: Nyrkov D.
74'
🔄Zharynbetov S.
Out: Zharynbetov S. In: Omatay M.
Zhumashev Z.🔄
Out: Zhumashev Z. In: Marat D.
80'
90'
🟨Agimanov T.
90'
🟨Turlybek M.
Busurmanov S.🟨
90'
Tagybergen A.🔄
Out: Tagybergen A. In: Talal A.
90'
Zhagorov N.🔄
Out: Zhagorov N. In: Kalmyrza M.
90'
43'
🔄
Poe J.
Out: Poe J. | In: Baybosynov N.
Ertis Pavlodar
45'
🟥
Asrankulov R.
Tobol
46'
🔄
Zhumat D.
Out: Zhumat D. | In: Zuev A.
Tobol
52'
⚽
Milovanovic U.
Tobol
61'
🔄
Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. | In: Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
61'
🔄
Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. | In: Shvyrev V.
Ertis Pavlodar
74'
🔄
Nechayev D.
Out: Nechayev D. | In: Nyrkov D.
Ertis Pavlodar
74'
🔄
Zharynbetov S.
Out: Zharynbetov S. | In: Omatay M.
Ertis Pavlodar
80'
🔄
Zhumashev Z.
Out: Zhumashev Z. | In: Marat D.
Tobol
90'
🟨
Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟨
Turlybek M.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟨
Busurmanov S.
Tobol
90'
🔄
Tagybergen A.
Out: Tagybergen A. | In: Talal A.
Tobol
90'
🔄
Zhagorov N.
Out: Zhagorov N. | In: Kalmyrza M.
Tobol
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Tobol27%
Draw46%
Ertis Pavlodar27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Tobol (27%) and Ertis Pavlodar (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tobol's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tobol
VS
Ertis Pavlodar
Tobol
VS
Ertis Pavlodar
1.5
Goals Scored
0.75
1.5
Goals Scored
0.75
1
Goals Conceded
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
1.26
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
1.26
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
75%
Over 1.5
50%
75%
Over 1.5
50%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.05.26 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0 |
| 15.08.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 18.07.20 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0 |
| 05.05.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 17.08.19 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
Tobol Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.08.26 | OrdabasyvsTobol | 2:0L |
| 30.07.26 | TobolvsFK Panevezys | 2:1W |
| 26.07.26 | TobolvsAtyrau | 1:0W |
| 23.07.26 | FK PanevezysvsTobol | 1:1D |
| 18.07.26 | KyzylzharvsTobol | 1:1D |
Ertis Pavlodar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsKaspij Aktau | 3:2W |
| 25.07.26 | UlytauvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:2W |
| 11.07.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsZhenis | 0:1L |
| 05.07.26 | Kaisar KyzylordavsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0D |
| 28.06.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsKaisar Kyzylorda | 1:2L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 36:15 | 46 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39:14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 29:27 | 33 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29:24 | 31 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:23 | 28 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 16:20 | 27 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17:23 | 23 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23:28 | 22 |
| 10 | Tobol | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | 22 |
| 11 | Kaspij Aktau | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | 21 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15:22 | 20 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14:18 | 19 |
| 14 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 23:30 | 19 |
| 15 | Ertis Pavlodar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Altai | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16:30 | 16 |