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Mexico•Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026
Sunday, Nov 2, 2025, 01:00Nov 2, 01:00
LDDLW
DLWLL
Match Events
Castaneda S.🟨
22'
32'
🟨Martinez J.
Silva J.🔄
Out: Silva J. In: Fabio Erins
43'
Zaragoza A.🟨
45'
Rojas H.🔄
Out: Rojas H. In: Gonzalez P.
46'
49'
🟨Torres D.
58'
🟨Gallegos D.
Salomon O.🔄
Out: Salomon O. In: Morales A.
63'
Becerra L.🔄
Out: Becerra L. In: Partida F.
63'
68'
🔄Gallegos D.
Out: Gallegos D. In: Esqueda D.
73'
🟥Palma A.
76'
🔄Figueroa F.
Out: Figueroa F. In: Moreno G.
Castaneda S.🔄
Out: Castaneda S. In: Robles E.
79'
83'
🔄del Campo R.
Out: del Campo R. In: Nambo M.
83'
🔄Martinez J.
Out: Martinez J. In: Dominguez M.
89'
⚽Nambo M.
90'
🟨Torres A.
Lazaro J.🟨
90'
90'
🟨Dominguez M.
22'
🟨
Castaneda S.
Tlaxcala
32'
🟨
Martinez J.
Club Atletico Morelia
43'
🔄
Silva J.
Out: Silva J. | In: Fabio Erins
Tlaxcala
45'
🟨
Zaragoza A.
Tlaxcala
46'
🔄
Rojas H.
Out: Rojas H. | In: Gonzalez P.
Tlaxcala
49'
🟨
Torres D.
Club Atletico Morelia
58'
🟨
Gallegos D.
Club Atletico Morelia
63'
🔄
Salomon O.
Out: Salomon O. | In: Morales A.
Tlaxcala
63'
🔄
Becerra L.
Out: Becerra L. | In: Partida F.
Tlaxcala
68'
🔄
Gallegos D.
Out: Gallegos D. | In: Esqueda D.
Club Atletico Morelia
73'
🟥
Palma A.
Club Atletico Morelia
76'
🔄
Figueroa F.
Out: Figueroa F. | In: Moreno G.
Club Atletico Morelia
79'
🔄
Castaneda S.
Out: Castaneda S. | In: Robles E.
Tlaxcala
83'
🔄
del Campo R.
Out: del Campo R. | In: Nambo M.
Club Atletico Morelia
83'
🔄
Martinez J.
Out: Martinez J. | In: Dominguez M.
Club Atletico Morelia
89'
⚽
Nambo M.
Club Atletico Morelia
90'
🟨
Torres A.
Club Atletico Morelia
90'
🟨
Lazaro J.
Tlaxcala
90'
🟨
Dominguez M.
Club Atletico Morelia
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Tlaxcala28%
Draw44%
Club Atletico Morelia28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Tlaxcala (28%) and Club Atletico Morelia (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tlaxcala's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tlaxcala
VS
Club Atletico Morelia
Tlaxcala
VS
Club Atletico Morelia
0.75
Goals Scored
1
0.75
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1.13
1
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.80
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
0.80
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
63%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 1.5
63%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.04.26 | Club Atletico MoreliavsTlaxcala | 0:0 |
| 02.11.25 | TlaxcalavsClub Atletico Morelia | 0:1 |
| 20.04.25 | TlaxcalavsClub Atletico Morelia | 1:1 |
| 01.11.24 | Club Atletico MoreliavsTlaxcala | 2:1 |
| 09.02.24 | Club Atletico MoreliavsTlaxcala | 3:1 |
Tlaxcala Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.07.26 | PueblavsTlaxcala | 3:1L |
| 18.04.26 | TlaxcalavsVenados FC | 2:2D |
| 12.04.26 | Club Atletico MoreliavsTlaxcala | 0:0D |
| 07.04.26 | TapatiovsTlaxcala | 3:0L |
| 03.04.26 | TlaxcalavsDorados de Sinaloa | 2:0W |
Club Atletico Morelia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05.07.26 | Club Atletico MoreliavsCruz Azul | 3:3D |
| 20.06.26 | NecaxavsClub Atletico Morelia | 1:0L |
| 26.04.26 | Club Atletico MoreliavsZacatecas Mineros | 2:0W |
| 23.04.26 | Zacatecas MinerosvsClub Atletico Morelia | 3:0L |
| 19.04.26 | Jaiba BravavsClub Atletico Morelia | 1:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlante | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 26:24 | 21 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 8 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Venados FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 29:30 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 25:30 | 17 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:27 | 14 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:35 | 10 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8:26 | 5 |