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Mexico•Liga de Expansion MX
Saturday, Aug 8, 2026, 01:00Aug 8, 01:00
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AI Prediction
Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Tepatitlan de Morelos64%
Draw16.5%
Atletico La Paz19.5%
Match Analysis
Tepatitlan de Morelos enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Tepatitlan de Morelos's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Tepatitlan de Morelos
VS
Atletico La Paz
Tepatitlan de Morelos
VS
Atletico La Paz
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Scored
1
0.63
Goals Conceded
2
0.63
Goals Conceded
2
1.21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
1.21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 1.5
88%
0%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.04.26 | Atletico La PazvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 1:1 |
| 01.11.25 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsAtletico La Paz | 0:1 |
| 22.03.25 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsAtletico La Paz | 4:1 |
| 05.10.24 | Atletico La PazvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 2:5 |
| 24.01.24 | Atletico La PazvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 2:0 |
Tepatitlan de Morelos Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | CorrecaminosvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 3:1L |
| 25.07.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsAlacranes de Durango | 0:1L |
| 31.05.26 | Jaiba BravavsTepatitlan de Morelos | 4:3L |
| 24.05.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsJaiba Brava | 3:1W |
| 17.05.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsJaiba Brava | 1:0W |
Atletico La Paz Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Atletico La PazvsAlacranes de Durango | 0:1L |
| 26.07.26 | Club Atletico MoreliavsAtletico La Paz | 4:2L |
| 01.07.26 | JuarezvsAtletico La Paz | 2:2D |
| 26.04.26 | Atletico La PazvsJaiba Brava | 1:2L |
| 23.04.26 | Jaiba BravavsAtletico La Paz | 2:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Alacranes de Durango | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Venados FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Correcaminos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Tapatio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 7 | Piratas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Club Atletico Morelia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 11 | Jaiba Brava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Cancun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Atletico La Paz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 14 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 16 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |