Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction & Stats

Brazil•Serie A

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 20:30Oct 11, 20:30

Corinthians

WWDDW

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Match Events

Arias J.🟨

14'

🟨Raniele

Barboza A.⚽

16'

Giay A.⚽

45'

Matheus Bidu•

46'

49'

🟨Depay M.

Giay A.🟨

49'

Giay A.⚽

51'

57'

🔄Breno Bidon

Out: Breno Bidon In: Vitinho

57'

🔄Carrillo A.

Out: Carrillo A. In: Allan

59'

🟨Gabriel Paulista

65'

🟨Vitinho

Lopez J.🔄

Out: Lopez J. In: Mauricio

69'

Lucas Evangelista🔄

Out: Lucas Evangelista In: Martinez E.

69'

Vitor Roque🔄

Out: Vitor Roque In: Sosa R.

69'

🔄Andre

Out: Andre In: Andre Ramalho

69'

🔄Yuri Alberto

Out: Yuri Alberto In: Pedro Raul

Gomez G.🟨

72'

Sosa R.🔄

Out: Sosa R. In: Paulinho

77'

Paulinho•

81'

83'

🔄Raniele

Out: Raniele In: da Cruz Lopes D.

Gomez G.🔄

Out: Gomez G. In: Bruno Fuchs

83'

90'

⚽Gustavo Henrique

🟨

Arias J.

Palmeiras

14'

🟨

Raniele

Corinthians

16'

⚽

Barboza A.

Palmeiras

45'

⚽

Giay A.

Palmeiras

46'

•

Matheus Bidu

Palmeiras

49'

🟨

Depay M.

Corinthians

49'

🟨

Giay A.

Palmeiras

51'

⚽

Giay A.

Palmeiras

57'

🔄

Breno Bidon

Out: Breno Bidon | In: Vitinho

Corinthians

57'

🔄

Carrillo A.

Out: Carrillo A. | In: Allan

Corinthians

59'

🟨

Gabriel Paulista

Corinthians

65'

🟨

Vitinho

Corinthians

69'

🔄

Lopez J.

Out: Lopez J. | In: Mauricio

Palmeiras

69'

🔄

Lucas Evangelista

Out: Lucas Evangelista | In: Martinez E.

Palmeiras

69'

🔄

Vitor Roque

Out: Vitor Roque | In: Sosa R.

Palmeiras

69'

🔄

Andre

Out: Andre | In: Andre Ramalho

Corinthians

69'

🔄

Yuri Alberto

Out: Yuri Alberto | In: Pedro Raul

Corinthians

72'

🟨

Gomez G.

Palmeiras

77'

🔄

Sosa R.

Out: Sosa R. | In: Paulinho

Palmeiras

81'

•

Paulinho

Palmeiras

83'

🔄

Raniele

Out: Raniele | In: da Cruz Lopes D.

Corinthians

83'

🔄

Gomez G.

Out: Gomez G. | In: Bruno Fuchs

Palmeiras

90'

⚽

Gustavo Henrique

Corinthians

AI Prediction

Top Pick100%

Home Win (1)

AI prediction points: 100%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.

Correct Score1:0

Win Probabilities

Palmeiras70%

Draw15%

Corinthians15%

Match Analysis

Palmeiras enters this match as the clear favorite with a 70% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Palmeiras's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras

Corinthians

Palmeiras

Corinthians

Goals Scored

0.75

Goals Scored

0.75

0.5

Goals Conceded

0.5

Goals Conceded

1.21

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

1.21

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

38%

Over 1.5

75%

38%

Over 1.5

75%

13%

Over 2.5

63%

13%

Over 2.5

63%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

Date	Match	Score
11.10.26	PalmeirasvsCorinthians	4:1
12.04.26	CorinthiansvsPalmeiras	0:0
08.02.26	CorinthiansvsPalmeiras	0:1
31.08.25	CorinthiansvsPalmeiras	1:1
07.08.25	PalmeirasvsCorinthians	0:2

Palmeiras Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
11.10.26	PalmeirasvsCorinthians	4:1W
09.10.26	PalmeirasvsBahia	1:0W
20.09.26	GremiovsPalmeiras	0:0D
16.09.26	LDU QuitovsPalmeiras	3:3D
12.09.26	PalmeirasvsSao Paulo	2:0W

Corinthians Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
11.10.26	PalmeirasvsCorinthians	4:1L
07.10.26	InternacionalvsCorinthians	2:1L
20.09.26	CorinthiansvsFluminense	1:3L
17.09.26	CorinthiansvsEstudiantes L.P.	0:1L
13.09.26	Flamengo RJvsCorinthians	2:1L

Group A

#	Team	PL	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	31	20	7	4	61:25	67
2	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	54:22	66
3	Athletico-PR	31	15	8	8	49:37	53
4	Cruzeiro	31	15	6	10	50:46	51
5	Fluminense	31	14	9	8	49:39	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42:35	50
7	Bahia	31	13	10	8	44:39	49
8	Santos	31	12	9	10	48:46	45
9	Sao Paulo	31	12	6	13	36:35	42
10	Bragantino	31	11	8	12	39:36	41
11	Botafogo RJ	31	10	9	12	44:48	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38:49	39
13	Vitoria	31	10	7	14	34:45	37
14	Mirassol	31	9	9	13	36:44	36
15	Vasco	30	9	8	13	36:43	35
16	Corinthians	31	8	9	14	32:39	33
17	Internacional	31	7	11	13	33:40	32
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34:44	31
19	Remo	31	5	11	15	34:49	26
20	Chapecoense-SC	30	3	9	18	30:62	18

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