Ertis Pavlodar vs FC Astana Prediction & Stats

Kazakhstan•Premier League

Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026, 10:00Oct 14, 10:00

FC Astana

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Match Events

Poe J.🟨

Shimamura Y.🟨

39'

Shimamura Y.🔄

Out: Shimamura Y. In: Khalmatov M.

46'

Poe J.🔄

Out: Poe J. In: Leonardo Kalil

46'

50'

•Islamkhan B.

Esimbekov D.🔄

Out: Esimbekov D. In: Falaye O. A.

64'

67'

🔄Karaman D.

Out: Karaman D. In: Beysebekov A.

67'

🔄Marat D.

Out: Marat D. In: Abrayev M.

Mukhametzhanov T.🔄

Out: Mukhametzhanov T. In: Berdibek D.

71'

Karimov R.🔄

Out: Karimov R. In: Nurlan A.

79'

80'

🔄Islamkhan B.

Out: Islamkhan B. In: Miladinovic I.

81'

🔄Karimov R.

Out: Karimov R. In: Buric N.

88'

🔄Tomasov M.

Out: Tomasov M. In: Shomko D.

🟨

Poe J.

Ertis Pavlodar

39'

🟨

Shimamura Y.

Ertis Pavlodar

46'

🔄

Shimamura Y.

Out: Shimamura Y. | In: Khalmatov M.

Ertis Pavlodar

46'

🔄

Poe J.

Out: Poe J. | In: Leonardo Kalil

Ertis Pavlodar

50'

•

Islamkhan B.

FC Astana

64'

🔄

Esimbekov D.

Out: Esimbekov D. | In: Falaye O. A.

Ertis Pavlodar

67'

🔄

Karaman D.

Out: Karaman D. | In: Beysebekov A.

FC Astana

67'

🔄

Marat D.

Out: Marat D. | In: Abrayev M.

FC Astana

71'

🔄

Mukhametzhanov T.

Out: Mukhametzhanov T. | In: Berdibek D.

Ertis Pavlodar

79'

🔄

Karimov R.

Out: Karimov R. | In: Nurlan A.

Ertis Pavlodar

80'

🔄

Islamkhan B.

Out: Islamkhan B. | In: Miladinovic I.

FC Astana

81'

🔄

Karimov R.

Out: Karimov R. | In: Buric N.

FC Astana

88'

🔄

Tomasov M.

Out: Tomasov M. | In: Shomko D.

FC Astana

AI Prediction

Top Pick30%

Draw (X)

AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.

Correct Score2:2

Win Probabilities

Ertis Pavlodar27%

Draw46%

FC Astana27%

Match Analysis

This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Ertis Pavlodar (27%) and FC Astana (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ertis Pavlodar's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Ertis Pavlodar

FC Astana

Ertis Pavlodar

FC Astana

0.88

Goals Scored

1.75

0.88

Goals Scored

1.75

1.5

Goals Conceded

0.88

1.5

Goals Conceded

0.88

0.82

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

0.82

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

75%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 1.5

75%

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 2.5

50%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

Date	Match	Score
14.10.26	Ertis PavlodarvsFC Astana	0:1
14.06.26	FC AstanavsErtis Pavlodar	2:0
12.09.20	FC AstanavsErtis Pavlodar	0:0
24.05.20	Ertis PavlodarvsFC Astana	0:0
21.03.20	FC AstanavsErtis Pavlodar	0:0

Ertis Pavlodar Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
14.10.26	Ertis PavlodarvsFC Astana	0:1L
10.10.26	Ertis PavlodarvsKyzylzhar	0:2L
18.09.26	AltaivsErtis Pavlodar	1:2W
13.09.26	Ertis PavlodarvsOkzhetpes	2:1W
05.09.26	Zhetysu TaldykorganvsErtis Pavlodar	1:0L

FC Astana Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
14.10.26	Ertis PavlodarvsFC Astana	0:1W
10.10.26	TobolvsFC Astana	2:1L
17.09.26	FC AstanavsKairat Almaty	1:0W
12.09.26	OrdabasyvsFC Astana	1:0L
06.09.26	FC AstanavsYelimay Semey	4:0W

Group A

#	Team	PL	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	28	21	4	3	58:20	67
2	Kairat Almaty	28	19	6	3	57:20	63
3	FC Astana	28	15	7	6	46:29	52
4	Okzhetpes	28	14	6	8	42:37	48
5	Aktobe	28	13	6	9	42:35	45
6	Yelimay Semey	28	12	8	8	40:38	44
7	Tobol	28	12	4	12	39:38	40
8	Ulytau	28	9	8	11	27:34	35
9	Kaspij Aktau	28	9	6	13	31:39	33
10	Zhenis	28	8	8	12	29:38	32
11	Atyrau	28	5	12	11	22:32	27
12	Kyzylzhar	28	7	6	15	28:41	27
13	Altai	28	6	8	14	28:39	26
14	Ertis Pavlodar	28	6	8	14	26:42	26
15	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	28	6	7	15	28:46	25
16	Kaisar Kyzylorda	28	4	12	12	24:39	24

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