Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction & Stats

Japan•J1 League

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 05:00Oct 11, 05:00

V-Varen Nagasaki

LDDLL

WLDLL

Match Events

Thiago•

13'

🟨Thiago

46'

🔄Yamada R.

Out: Yamada R. In: Yasuda K.

Erison🟨

53'

Ishio R.🔄

Out: Ishio R. In: Yonekura K.

56'

61'

🔄Shindo R.

Out: Shindo R. In: Ominami T.

65'

🔄Doi K.

Out: Doi K. In: Egawa Y.

Sugiyama N.🔄

Out: Sugiyama N. In: Issaka Z.

69'

Erison🔄

Out: Erison In: Goya H.

69'

74'

🔄Thiago

Out: Thiago In: Jonathan Junior

Yasui T.🔄

Out: Yasui T. In: Kobayashi Y.

79'

Tsukui T.🔄

Out: Tsukui T. In: Tanaka K.

79'

86'

🔄Masuyama A.

Out: Masuyama A. In: Matsumoto T.

Hidaka M.🔄

Out: Hidaka M. In: Suzuki D.

90'

Eduardo🟨

90'

⚽Yasuda K.

•

Thiago

Chiba

13'

🟨

Thiago

V-Varen Nagasaki

46'

🔄

Yamada R.

Out: Yamada R. | In: Yasuda K.

V-Varen Nagasaki

53'

🟨

Erison

Chiba

56'

🔄

Ishio R.

Out: Ishio R. | In: Yonekura K.

Chiba

61'

🔄

Shindo R.

Out: Shindo R. | In: Ominami T.

V-Varen Nagasaki

65'

🔄

Doi K.

Out: Doi K. | In: Egawa Y.

V-Varen Nagasaki

69'

🔄

Sugiyama N.

Out: Sugiyama N. | In: Issaka Z.

Chiba

69'

🔄

Erison

Out: Erison | In: Goya H.

Chiba

74'

🔄

Thiago

Out: Thiago | In: Jonathan Junior

V-Varen Nagasaki

79'

🔄

Yasui T.

Out: Yasui T. | In: Kobayashi Y.

Chiba

79'

🔄

Tsukui T.

Out: Tsukui T. | In: Tanaka K.

Chiba

86'

🔄

Masuyama A.

Out: Masuyama A. | In: Matsumoto T.

V-Varen Nagasaki

90'

🔄

Hidaka M.

Out: Hidaka M. | In: Suzuki D.

Chiba

90'

🟨

Eduardo

Chiba

90'

⚽

Yasuda K.

V-Varen Nagasaki

AI Prediction

Top Pick30%

Draw (X)

AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.

Correct Score1:1

Win Probabilities

Chiba27%

Draw46%

V-Varen Nagasaki27%

Match Analysis

This matchup in the J1 League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Chiba (27%) and V-Varen Nagasaki (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Chiba's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Chiba

V-Varen Nagasaki

Chiba

V-Varen Nagasaki

1.13

Goals Scored

1.13

Goals Scored

1.13

Goals Conceded

1.38

1.13

Goals Conceded

1.38

1.12

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

1.12

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

75%

Over 1.5

88%

75%

Over 1.5

88%

25%

Over 2.5

38%

25%

Over 2.5

38%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

Date	Match	Score
11.10.26	ChibavsV-Varen Nagasaki	1:1
04.10.25	ChibavsV-Varen Nagasaki	0:2
25.05.25	V-Varen NagasakivsChiba	1:0
03.11.24	ChibavsV-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
25.05.24	V-Varen NagasakivsChiba	1:0

Chiba Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
21.10.26	Urawa RedsvsChiba	3:2L
17.10.26	ChibavsYokohama F. Marinos	0:0D
11.10.26	ChibavsV-Varen Nagasaki	1:1D
07.10.26	OkayamavsChiba	1:0L
29.09.26	IwatavsChiba	4:2L

V-Varen Nagasaki Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
21.10.26	V-Varen NagasakivsSanfrecce Hiroshima	4:0W
17.10.26	Kashima AntlersvsV-Varen Nagasaki	2:0L
11.10.26	ChibavsV-Varen Nagasaki	1:1D
07.10.26	Shimizu S-PulsevsV-Varen Nagasaki	2:1L
29.09.26	Gainare TottorivsV-Varen Nagasaki	2:0L

Group A

#	Team	PL	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	11	8	2	1	30:10	26
2	FC Tokyo	11	7	3	1	21:8	24
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	11	7	2	2	25:10	23
4	Vissel Kobe	11	7	1	3	18:11	22
5	Kashiwa Reysol	11	7	1	3	22:17	22
6	Kashima Antlers	11	6	2	3	23:18	20
7	Kawasaki Frontale	11	5	4	2	23:17	19
8	Urawa Reds	11	6	0	5	20:23	18
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	11	4	5	2	15:11	17
10	Okayama	11	5	1	5	14:15	16
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	11	4	2	5	10:16	14
12	Nagoya Grampus	11	4	1	6	13:17	13
13	Cerezo Osaka	11	3	4	4	10:17	13
14	V-Varen Nagasaki	11	3	3	5	15:18	12
15	Gamba Osaka	11	2	4	5	12:19	10
16	Mito	11	2	3	6	12:16	9
17	Kyoto	11	2	3	6	13:21	9
18	Avispa Fukuoka	11	2	1	8	12:18	7
19	Chiba	11	1	3	7	10:22	6
20	Verdy	11	0	5	6	6:20	5

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