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USA•USL League One
Saturday, May 2, 2026, 23:30May 2, 23:30
LWLWW
WDWLL
Match Events
24'
⚽Gebhard D.
Bolanos J.⚽
27'
46'
🔄Ngoubou C.
Out: Ngoubou C. In: Torres R.
58'
🟨Edwards A.
Tainio M.🔄
Out: Tainio M. In: Bender J.
68'
Watters D.🟨
68'
72'
🔄Edwards A.
Out: Edwards A. In: Shannon J.
McLaughlin G.🔄
Out: McLaughlin G. In: O'Dwyer C.
81'
82'
🔄Castro J.
Out: Castro J. In: Romanshyn K.
82'
🔄Gebhard D.
Out: Gebhard D. In: Machacen E.
84'
⚽Humphrey T.
86'
⚽Bolma J.
Roed S.🔄
Out: Roed S. In: Rodriguez A.
88'
Bolanos J.🔄
Out: Bolanos J. In: Bryant E.
88'
24'
⚽
Gebhard D.
Forward Madison
27'
⚽
Bolanos J.
Sarasota Paradise
46'
🔄
Ngoubou C.
Out: Ngoubou C. | In: Torres R.
Forward Madison
58'
🟨
Edwards A.
Forward Madison
68'
🔄
Tainio M.
Out: Tainio M. | In: Bender J.
Sarasota Paradise
68'
🟨
Watters D.
Sarasota Paradise
72'
🔄
Edwards A.
Out: Edwards A. | In: Shannon J.
Forward Madison
81'
🔄
McLaughlin G.
Out: McLaughlin G. | In: O'Dwyer C.
Sarasota Paradise
82'
🔄
Castro J.
Out: Castro J. | In: Romanshyn K.
Forward Madison
82'
🔄
Gebhard D.
Out: Gebhard D. | In: Machacen E.
Forward Madison
84'
⚽
Humphrey T.
Forward Madison
86'
⚽
Bolma J.
Forward Madison
88'
🔄
Roed S.
Out: Roed S. | In: Rodriguez A.
Sarasota Paradise
88'
🔄
Bolanos J.
Out: Bolanos J. | In: Bryant E.
Sarasota Paradise
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Sarasota Paradise27%
Draw46%
Forward Madison27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the USL League One is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Sarasota Paradise (27%) and Forward Madison (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Sarasota Paradise's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Sarasota Paradise
VS
Forward Madison
Sarasota Paradise
VS
Forward Madison
1.13
Goals Scored
1.25
1.13
Goals Scored
1.25
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
1.12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
88%
Over 1.5
75%
88%
Over 1.5
75%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
25%
25%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.05.26 | Sarasota ParadisevsForward Madison | 1:3 |
Sarasota Paradise Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.06.26 | Corpus Christi FCvsSarasota Paradise | 4:1L |
| 13.06.26 | Sarasota ParadisevsUnion Omaha | 2:0W |
| 11.06.26 | AV Alta FCvsSarasota Paradise | 3:1L |
| 06.06.26 | FC NaplesvsSarasota Paradise | 0:2W |
| 30.05.26 | Sarasota ParadisevsNew York Cosmos | 2:1W |
Forward Madison Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.06.26 | Forward MadisonvsNew York Cosmos | 3:1W |
| 18.06.26 | Forward MadisonvsFort Wayne | 1:1D |
| 14.06.26 | Forward MadisonvsAthletic Club Boise | 5:1W |
| 06.06.26 | Indy ElevenvsForward Madison | 2:0L |
| 03.06.26 | Greenville TriumphvsForward Madison | 1:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22:17 | 28 |
| 2 | One Knoxville | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31:16 | 26 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Athletic Club Boise | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 8 | Forward Madison | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:14 | 20 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:23 | 17 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:13 | 16 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17:28 | 16 |
| 13 | Corpus Christi FC | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | 15 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 23:20 | 14 |
| 15 | Richmond Kickers | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16:30 | 7 |