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USA•USL League One
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 23:30Oct 3, 23:30
LWWDD
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Match Events
7'
🟨Romero J.
17'
⚽Marou S.
Roed S.⚽
24'
Roed S.🟨
42'
45'
🟨Coulibaly S.
46'
🔄Coulibaly S.
Out: Coulibaly S. In: Riascos K.
62'
🔄Manzinga C.
Out: Manzinga C. In: Saydee P.
62'
🔄Martinez E.
Out: Martinez E. In: Ortiz V.
Bryant E.🔄
Out: Bryant E. In: O'Dwyer C.
63'
Roed S.🔄
Out: Roed S. In: Terzaghi E.
63'
Bolanos J.⚽
65'
Gall R.🟨
74'
74'
🔄Fuchs J.
Out: Fuchs J. In: Stefano Pinho
Gall R.🔄
Out: Gall R. In: Brulinski D.
77'
78'
🟨Ortiz V.
82'
🔄Amaya J.
Out: Amaya J. In: Guffroy M.
Rosa A.•
86'
Sogaard A.🟨
87'
89'
⚽Marou S.
Rodriguez A.🔄
Out: Rodriguez A. In: Sanchez K.
90'
Bolanos J.🔄
Out: Bolanos J. In: McLaughlin G.
90'
90'
⚽Stefano Pinho
90'
🟨Stefano Pinho
90'
🟨Levy M.
7'
🟨
Romero J.
Charlotte Independence
17'
⚽
Marou S.
Charlotte Independence
24'
⚽
Roed S.
Sarasota Paradise
42'
🟨
Roed S.
Sarasota Paradise
45'
🟨
Coulibaly S.
Charlotte Independence
46'
🔄
Coulibaly S.
Out: Coulibaly S. | In: Riascos K.
Charlotte Independence
62'
🔄
Manzinga C.
Out: Manzinga C. | In: Saydee P.
Charlotte Independence
62'
🔄
Martinez E.
Out: Martinez E. | In: Ortiz V.
Charlotte Independence
63'
🔄
Bryant E.
Out: Bryant E. | In: O'Dwyer C.
Sarasota Paradise
63'
🔄
Roed S.
Out: Roed S. | In: Terzaghi E.
Sarasota Paradise
65'
⚽
Bolanos J.
Sarasota Paradise
74'
🟨
Gall R.
Sarasota Paradise
74'
🔄
Fuchs J.
Out: Fuchs J. | In: Stefano Pinho
Charlotte Independence
77'
🔄
Gall R.
Out: Gall R. | In: Brulinski D.
Sarasota Paradise
78'
🟨
Ortiz V.
Charlotte Independence
82'
🔄
Amaya J.
Out: Amaya J. | In: Guffroy M.
Charlotte Independence
86'
•
Rosa A.
Sarasota Paradise
87'
🟨
Sogaard A.
Sarasota Paradise
89'
⚽
Marou S.
Charlotte Independence
90'
🔄
Rodriguez A.
Out: Rodriguez A. | In: Sanchez K.
Sarasota Paradise
90'
🔄
Bolanos J.
Out: Bolanos J. | In: McLaughlin G.
Sarasota Paradise
90'
⚽
Stefano Pinho
Charlotte Independence
90'
🟨
Stefano Pinho
Charlotte Independence
90'
🟨
Levy M.
Charlotte Independence
AI Prediction
Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Sarasota Paradise64%
Draw16.5%
Charlotte Independence19.5%
Match Analysis
Sarasota Paradise enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Sarasota Paradise's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Sarasota Paradise
VS
Charlotte Independence
Sarasota Paradise
VS
Charlotte Independence
2.5
Goals Scored
2.25
2.5
Goals Scored
2.25
1.25
Goals Conceded
1.5
1.25
Goals Conceded
1.5
2.04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
2.04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
100%
Over 1.5
100%
100%
Over 1.5
100%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Over 3.5
38%
50%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.10.26 | Sarasota ParadisevsCharlotte Independence | 2:3 |
| 15.08.26 | Charlotte IndependencevsSarasota Paradise | 3:1 |
Sarasota Paradise Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.10.26 | Sarasota ParadisevsCharlotte Independence | 2:3L |
| 26.09.26 | Portland Hearts of PinevsSarasota Paradise | 1:4W |
| 19.09.26 | Sarasota ParadisevsGreenville Triumph | 6:0W |
| 12.09.26 | Forward MadisonvsSarasota Paradise | 1:1D |
| 05.09.26 | Sarasota ParadisevsSpokane Velocity | 1:1D |
Charlotte Independence Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.10.26 | Sarasota ParadisevsCharlotte Independence | 2:3W |
| 26.09.26 | Charlotte IndependencevsFort Wayne | 1:1D |
| 19.09.26 | Richmond KickersvsCharlotte Independence | 1:2W |
| 17.09.26 | Athletic Club BoisevsCharlotte Independence | 1:1D |
| 12.09.26 | Charlotte IndependencevsWestchester SC | 5:4W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |