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Spain•Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Sunday, Mar 1, 2026, 10:15Mar 1, 10:15
LDLWD
DLLLW
Match Events
Escobar M.⚽
7'
75'
⚽Jimenez D.
7'
⚽
Escobar M.
Santurtzi
75'
⚽
Jimenez D.
Derio
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Santurtzi28%
Draw44%
Derio28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Santurtzi (28%) and Derio (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Santurtzi's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Santurtzi
VS
Derio
Santurtzi
VS
Derio
0.75
Goals Scored
1.13
0.75
Goals Scored
1.13
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.88
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
63%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 1.5
63%
50%
Over 2.5
25%
50%
Over 2.5
25%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.03.26 | SanturtzivsDerio | 1:1 |
| 18.10.25 | DeriovsSanturtzi | 3:0 |
| 26.04.25 | DeriovsSanturtzi | 0:0 |
| 14.12.24 | SanturtzivsDerio | 0:1 |
Santurtzi Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.08.26 | Eibar CvsSanturtzi | 3:1L |
| 12.08.26 | SanturtzivsSD Erandio | 0:0D |
| 09.05.26 | SCD DurangovsSanturtzi | 4:1L |
| 03.05.26 | SanturtzivsUD Aretxabaleta | 2:1W |
| 26.04.26 | ZamudiovsSanturtzi | 1:1D |
Derio Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22.08.26 | Gimnastic de TorrelavegavsDerio | 1:1D |
| 15.07.26 | DeriovsAth Bilbao | 0:3L |
| 06.06.26 | LeioavsDerio | 1:0L |
| 31.05.26 | DeriovsLeioa | 0:1L |
| 24.05.26 | DeriovsLagun Onak | 2:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |