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USA•USL Championship
Sunday, May 3, 2026, 02:00May 3, 02:00
LWWLL
WWDLW
Match Events
11'
•MacKinnon L.
Rodriguez A.🟨
11'
Desmond L.🟨
18'
22'
⚽Kelly S.
Rodriguez A.⚽
57'
58'
🔄Marinch A.
Out: Marinch A. In: Hegardt C.
Essel A.🟨
60'
69'
🔄MacKinnon L.
Out: MacKinnon L. In: Cambridge B.
69'
🔄Zubak E.
Out: Zubak E. In: Bazini Y.
73'
⚽Bazini Y.
Ajago F.🔄
Out: Ajago F. In: Edwards K.
74'
Wolff T.🔄
Out: Wolff T. In: Wanner D.
74'
Spaulding R.🔄
Out: Spaulding R. In: Willey B.
78'
83'
🟨Brewitt T.
84'
🔄Sylla O.
Out: Sylla O. In: Espy T.
Essel A.🔄
Out: Essel A. In: Ukaegbu C.
87'
Edwards K.⚽
88'
Benitez M.•
90'
Benitez M.⚽
90'
11'
•
MacKinnon L.
Orange County SC
11'
🟨
Rodriguez A.
Sacramento Republic
18'
🟨
Desmond L.
Sacramento Republic
22'
⚽
Kelly S.
Orange County SC
57'
⚽
Rodriguez A.
Sacramento Republic
58'
🔄
Marinch A.
Out: Marinch A. | In: Hegardt C.
Orange County SC
60'
🟨
Essel A.
Sacramento Republic
69'
🔄
MacKinnon L.
Out: MacKinnon L. | In: Cambridge B.
Orange County SC
69'
🔄
Zubak E.
Out: Zubak E. | In: Bazini Y.
Orange County SC
73'
⚽
Bazini Y.
Orange County SC
74'
🔄
Ajago F.
Out: Ajago F. | In: Edwards K.
Sacramento Republic
74'
🔄
Wolff T.
Out: Wolff T. | In: Wanner D.
Sacramento Republic
78'
🔄
Spaulding R.
Out: Spaulding R. | In: Willey B.
Sacramento Republic
83'
🟨
Brewitt T.
Orange County SC
84'
🔄
Sylla O.
Out: Sylla O. | In: Espy T.
Orange County SC
87'
🔄
Essel A.
Out: Essel A. | In: Ukaegbu C.
Sacramento Republic
88'
⚽
Edwards K.
Sacramento Republic
90'
•
Benitez M.
Sacramento Republic
90'
⚽
Benitez M.
Sacramento Republic
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Sacramento Republic26%
Draw48%
Orange County SC26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the USL Championship is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Sacramento Republic (26%) and Orange County SC (26%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Sacramento Republic's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Sacramento Republic
VS
Orange County SC
Sacramento Republic
VS
Orange County SC
1
Goals Scored
2.13
1
Goals Scored
2.13
1
Goals Conceded
2
1
Goals Conceded
2
1.21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
1.21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
50%
Over 1.5
100%
50%
Over 1.5
100%
38%
Over 2.5
88%
38%
Over 2.5
88%
13%
Over 3.5
63%
13%
Over 3.5
63%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.05.26 | Sacramento RepublicvsOrange County SC | 3:2 |
| 03.11.25 | Sacramento RepublicvsOrange County SC | 0:1 |
| 02.10.25 | Sacramento RepublicvsOrange County SC | 2:1 |
| 29.06.25 | Orange County SCvsSacramento Republic | 1:0 |
| 13.04.25 | Orange County SCvsSacramento Republic | 2:1 |
Sacramento Republic Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.06.26 | Sacramento RepublicvsNew Mexico | 0:1L |
| 14.06.26 | Colorado SpringsvsSacramento Republic | 0:1W |
| 07.06.26 | Sacramento RepublicvsMonterey Bay | 2:1W |
| 31.05.26 | Phoenix RisingvsSacramento Republic | 2:0L |
| 24.05.26 | San Antonio FCvsSacramento Republic | 2:1L |
Orange County SC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24.06.26 | Miami FCvsOrange County SC | 2:4W |
| 21.06.26 | Las Vegas LightsvsOrange County SC | 2:3W |
| 14.06.26 | New MexicovsOrange County SC | 1:1D |
| 07.06.26 | AV Alta FCvsOrange County SC | 2:1L |
| 24.05.26 | Orange County SCvsOakland Roots | 3:2W |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:23 | 17 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19:41 | 4 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:24 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Lexington | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 10 | Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | 15 |