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Friday, Feb 20, 2026, 08:00Feb 20, 08:00
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AI Prediction
Top Pick60%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 60%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Rodina Moscow62%
Draw17%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk21%
Match Analysis
Rodina Moscow enters this match as the clear favorite with a 62% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Rodina Moscow's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Rodina Moscow
VS
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Rodina Moscow
VS
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1.88
Goals Scored
0
1.88
Goals Scored
0
2.63
Goals Conceded
0
2.63
Goals Conceded
0
1.22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
1.22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
100%
Over 1.5
0%
100%
Over 1.5
0%
100%
Over 2.5
0%
100%
Over 2.5
0%
75%
Over 3.5
0%
75%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.05.26 | Chernomorets NovorossijskvsRodina Moscow | 1:3 |
| 20.02.26 | Rodina MoscowvsChernomorets Novorossijsk | 0:0 |
| 21.07.25 | Rodina MoscowvsChernomorets Novorossijsk | 1:1 |
| 17.11.24 | Rodina MoscowvsChernomorets Novorossijsk | 0:1 |
| 01.09.24 | Chernomorets NovorossijskvsRodina Moscow | 2:2 |
Rodina Moscow Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.10.26 | Rodina MoscowvsKrasnodar | 2:1W |
| 28.10.26 | OrenburgvsRodina Moscow | 2:1L |
| 24.10.26 | Fakel VoronezhvsRodina Moscow | 0:1W |
| 19.10.26 | Rodina MoscowvsOrenburg | 2:2D |
| 15.10.26 | Rodina MoscowvsSpartak Moscow | 2:4L |
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.05.26 | Chernomorets NovorossijskvsUral | 2:1W |
| 08.05.26 | FK Chayka PeschanokopskoyevsChernomorets Novorossijsk | 0:2W |
| 02.05.26 | Chernomorets NovorossijskvsRodina Moscow | 1:3L |
| 26.04.26 | Chernomorets NovorossijskvsSaratov | 0:1L |
| 22.04.26 | NeftekhimikvsChernomorets Novorossijsk | 4:0L |