QPR vs Derby Prediction & Stats

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England•Championship 2025/2026

Saturday, Apr 25, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 14:00

Derby

DWLWW

DLLDL

Match Events

Vale H.⚽

13'

25'

⚽Fraulo O.

Mbengue A. S.🔄

Out: Mbengue A. S. In: Adamson K.

46'

53'

🟨Szmodics S.

Kone R.⚽

55'

61'

🔄Sanderson D.

Out: Sanderson D. In: Forsyth C.

61'

🔄Johnston M.

Out: Johnston M. In: Banel J.

61'

🔄Fraulo O.

Out: Fraulo O. In: Ozoh D.

Bennie D.🔄

Out: Bennie D. In: Burrell R.

62'

Morgan K.🔄

Out: Morgan K. In: Madsen N.

62'

63'

🟨Langas S.

Kone R.🔄

Out: Kone R. In: Chair I.

68'

Burrell R.🟨

70'

75'

🔄Travis L.

Out: Travis L. In: Salvesen L.

76'

⚽Langas S.

Smyth P.🔄

Out: Smyth P. In: Saito K.

79'

81'

🟨Brereton Diaz B.

88'

⚽Banel J.

90'

🔄Szmodics S.

Out: Szmodics S. In: Batth D.

13'

⚽

Vale H.

QPR

25'

⚽

Fraulo O.

Derby

46'

🔄

Mbengue A. S.

Out: Mbengue A. S. | In: Adamson K.

QPR

53'

🟨

Szmodics S.

Derby

55'

⚽

Kone R.

QPR

61'

🔄

Sanderson D.

Out: Sanderson D. | In: Forsyth C.

Derby

61'

🔄

Johnston M.

Out: Johnston M. | In: Banel J.

Derby

61'

🔄

Fraulo O.

Out: Fraulo O. | In: Ozoh D.

Derby

62'

🔄

Bennie D.

Out: Bennie D. | In: Burrell R.

QPR

62'

🔄

Morgan K.

Out: Morgan K. | In: Madsen N.

QPR

63'

🟨

Langas S.

Derby

68'

🔄

Kone R.

Out: Kone R. | In: Chair I.

QPR

70'

🟨

Burrell R.

QPR

75'

🔄

Travis L.

Out: Travis L. | In: Salvesen L.

Derby

76'

⚽

Langas S.

Derby

79'

🔄

Smyth P.

Out: Smyth P. | In: Saito K.

QPR

81'

🟨

Brereton Diaz B.

Derby

88'

⚽

Banel J.

Derby

90'

🔄

Szmodics S.

Out: Szmodics S. | In: Batth D.

Derby

AI Prediction

Top Pick100%

Home Win (1)

AI prediction points: 100%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.

Correct Score1:0

Win Probabilities

QPR70%

Draw15%

Derby15%

Match Analysis

QPR enters this match as the clear favorite with a 70% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at QPR's home ground.

Scoring Trends

QPR

Derby

QPR

Derby

2.63

Goals Scored

1.25

2.63

Goals Scored

1.25

Goals Conceded

1.5

Goals Conceded

1.5

2.13

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

2.13

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

75%

Over 1.5

88%

75%

Over 1.5

88%

75%

Over 2.5

63%

75%

Over 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

25%

63%

Over 3.5

25%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

Date	Match	Score
25.04.26	QPRvsDerby	2:3
25.10.25	DerbyvsQPR	1:0
14.02.25	QPRvsDerby	4:0
05.10.24	DerbyvsQPR	2:0
18.04.22	QPRvsDerby	1:0

QPR Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
22.08.26	QPRvsBolton	0:0D
15.08.26	PortsmouthvsQPR	1:3W
08.08.26	QPRvsMillwall	1:2L
01.08.26	AFC WimbledonvsQPR	2:3W
31.07.26	BromleyvsQPR	0:7W

Derby Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
22.08.26	DerbyvsCardiff	2:2D
15.08.26	CharltonvsDerby	2:1L
08.08.26	DerbyvsLincoln City	1:2L
04.08.26	RotherhamvsDerby	1:1D
01.08.26	BurtonvsDerby	1:0L

Group A

#	Team	PL	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	80
6	Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	57
17	Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	0

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