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AI Prediction
Top Pick
Nacional
Choose Over
Correct Score1 - 2
Win Probabilities
Progreso15.2%
Draw22.2%
Nacional61.8%
Match Analysis
Nacional is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 61.8% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Nacional, predicting a likely scoreline of 1 - 2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Progreso's home ground.
Head-to-Head Stats
3
Won (Last 10)
4
6
Lost (Last 10)
0
0%
Over 2.5 %
10.00%
0.80
Avg Scored
1.10
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | ProgresovsNacional | 0 - 1 |
| 2025-08-16 | NacionalvsProgreso | 3 - 1 |
| 2025-05-24 | NacionalvsProgreso | 1 - 0 |
| 2025-02-16 | ProgresovsNacional | 1 - 5 |
| 2024-09-30 | ProgresovsNacional | 0 - 3 |
Progreso Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | ProgresovsNacional | 0 - 1L |
| 2026-02-14 | MaldonadovsProgreso | 2 - 0L |
| 2026-02-07 | ProgresovsCentral Es... | 0 - 3L |
| 2026-01-30 | Boston Riv...vsProgreso | 1 - 2W |
| 2026-01-19 | JuventudvsProgreso | 0 - 1W |
Nacional Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | ProgresovsNacional | 0 - 1W |
| 2026-02-15 | NacionalvsRacing Mon... | 1 - 1D |
| 2026-02-09 | Boston Riv...vsNacional | 1 - 2W |
| 2026-01-25 | NacionalvsD. Concepc... | 1 - 0W |
| 2025-11-23 | PenarolvsNacional | 2 - 2D |
Standings
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peñarol | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Boston River | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:4 | 18 |
| 3 | City Torque | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Nacional | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 15 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 8 | Danubio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Miramar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Progreso | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Cerro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 13 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:11 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | 2 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | 1 |