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Uruguay•Copa Uruguay
Wednesday, Sep 16, 2026, 18:00Sep 16, 18:00
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Match Events
32'
⚽Correa T.
32'
⚽
Correa T.
Club Nacional
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Progreso27%
Draw19%
Club Nacional54%
Match Analysis
Club Nacional holds a slight edge in this encounter, though a result is far from guaranteed. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Progreso's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Progreso
VS
Club Nacional
Progreso
VS
Club Nacional
0.5
Goals Scored
1.25
0.5
Goals Scored
1.25
1.25
Goals Conceded
1
1.25
Goals Conceded
1
0.60
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
0.60
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
50%
Over 1.5
63%
50%
Over 1.5
63%
25%
Over 2.5
50%
25%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.09.26 | ProgresovsClub Nacional | 0:1 |
| 23.08.26 | Club NacionalvsProgreso | 1:0 |
| 02.08.26 | Club NacionalvsProgreso | 2:1 |
| 21.02.26 | ProgresovsClub Nacional | 0:1 |
| 22.01.26 | Club NacionalvsProgreso | 1:2 |
Progreso Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | ProgresovsCA Cerro | 1:3L |
| 07.09.26 | AlbionvsProgreso | 0:1W |
| 03.09.26 | AlbionvsProgreso | 2:1L |
| 29.08.26 | ProgresovsDanubio | 1:0W |
| 26.08.26 | ProgresovsRiver Plate Montevideo | 0:2L |
Club Nacional Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | WanderersvsClub Nacional | 1:1D |
| 06.09.26 | Club NacionalvsJuventud | 2:2D |
| 03.09.26 | River Plate MontevideovsClub Nacional | 2:3W |
| 30.08.26 | PenarolvsClub Nacional | 0:1W |
| 27.08.26 | Club NacionalvsAlbion | 0:0D |
Group 1
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Danubio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Atenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
Group 2
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp. | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
Group 3
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerrito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
Group 4
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 3 | Juventud | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
Group 5
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 6
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston River | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Colon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |