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Uruguay•Copa Uruguay
Wednesday, Sep 16, 2026, 18:00Sep 16, 18:00
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Match Events
32'
⚽Correa T.
32'
⚽
Correa T.
Club Nacional
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Progreso27%
Draw46%
Club Nacional27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Copa Uruguay is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Progreso (27%) and Club Nacional (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Progreso's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Progreso
VS
Club Nacional
Progreso
VS
Club Nacional
1.38
Goals Scored
2
1.38
Goals Scored
2
1.25
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.25
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.07
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
1.07
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
75%
Over 1.5
75%
75%
Over 1.5
75%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
25%
25%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.09.26 | ProgresovsClub Nacional | 0:1 |
| 23.08.26 | Club NacionalvsProgreso | 1:0 |
| 02.08.26 | Club NacionalvsProgreso | 2:1 |
| 21.02.26 | ProgresovsClub Nacional | 0:1 |
| 22.01.26 | Club NacionalvsProgreso | 1:2 |
Progreso Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.10.26 | WanderersvsProgreso | 0:1W |
| 17.10.26 | ProgresovsJuventud | 2:0W |
| 10.10.26 | PenarolvsProgreso | 1:1D |
| 03.10.26 | Liverpool M.vsProgreso | 3:2L |
| 26.09.26 | ProgresovsRacing Montevideo | 2:1W |
Club Nacional Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.10.26 | Club NacionalvsLiverpool M. | 0:1L |
| 19.10.26 | Club NacionalvsMaldonado | 3:2W |
| 15.10.26 | Club NacionalvsRentistas | 3:0W |
| 11.10.26 | Central Esp.vsClub Nacional | 0:1W |
| 05.10.26 | Club NacionalvsMontevideo City | 2:0W |
Group 1
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Danubio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Atenas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 2 |
Group 2
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Defensor Sp. | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
Group 3
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerrito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | CA Cerro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Group 4
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
Group 5
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Albion | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 6
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston River | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Fenix | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
| 4 | Colon | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |