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Uruguay•Liga AUF Uruguaya
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 21:30Oct 10, 21:30
DWDWW
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AI Prediction
Top Pick60%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 60%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Penarol62%
Draw17%
Progreso21%
Match Analysis
Penarol enters this match as the clear favorite with a 62% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Penarol's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Penarol
VS
Progreso
Penarol
VS
Progreso
1.88
Goals Scored
1
1.88
Goals Scored
1
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.57
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
1.57
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
75%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 3.5
13%
38%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.04.26 | ProgresovsPenarol | 0:2 |
| 01.08.25 | PenarolvsProgreso | 2:1 |
| 01.02.25 | ProgresovsPenarol | 1:3 |
| 27.11.24 | ProgresovsPenarol | 1:5 |
| 22.06.24 | ProgresovsPenarol | 0:2 |
Penarol Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30.09.26 | Montevideo CityvsPenarol | 1:1D |
| 26.09.26 | PenarolvsBoston River | 2:1W |
| 24.09.26 | DanubiovsPenarol | 1:1D |
| 19.09.26 | CA CerrovsPenarol | 1:2W |
| 13.09.26 | PenarolvsAlbion | 3:1W |
Progreso Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.10.26 | Liverpool M.vsProgreso | 3:2L |
| 26.09.26 | ProgresovsRacing Montevideo | 2:1W |
| 19.09.26 | Boston RivervsProgreso | 1:2W |
| 16.09.26 | ProgresovsClub Nacional | 0:1L |
| 13.09.26 | ProgresovsCA Cerro | 1:3L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Penarol | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Central Esp. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:18 | 3 |