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Italy•Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Sunday, Mar 1, 2026, 13:30Mar 1, 13:30
LLDDD
DLLLD
Match Events
Cominetti M.⚽
8'
48'
⚽Arcopinto A.
8'
⚽
Cominetti M.
Pavia
48'
⚽
Arcopinto A.
Varesina
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Pavia56%
Draw18.5%
Varesina25.5%
Match Analysis
Pavia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Pavia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Pavia
VS
Varesina
Pavia
VS
Varesina
0.75
Goals Scored
1.38
0.75
Goals Scored
1.38
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.63
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
50%
Over 1.5
75%
50%
Over 1.5
75%
50%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Over 2.5
63%
25%
Over 3.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.03.26 | PaviavsVaresina | 1:1 |
| 26.10.25 | VaresinavsPavia | 2:2 |
| 04.02.18 | VaresinavsPavia | 2:2 |
| 01.10.17 | PaviavsVaresina | 2:0 |
Pavia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07.10.26 | PaviavsSant'Angelo | 1:3L |
| 04.10.26 | CorreggesevsPavia | 2:1L |
| 27.09.26 | PaviavsArconatese | 1:1D |
| 20.09.26 | Sant'AngelovsPavia | 0:0D |
| 16.09.26 | PaviavsSolbiatese | 0:0D |
Varesina Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.10.26 | VaresinavsPro Patria | 0:0D |
| 27.09.26 | USD CasatesevsVaresina | 4:2L |
| 20.09.26 | VaresinavsPistoiese | 0:1L |
| 16.09.26 | CorreggesevsVaresina | 2:1L |
| 13.09.26 | Sant'AngelovsVaresina | 1:1D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |