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Spain•Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Saturday, Feb 21, 2026, 12:00Feb 21, 12:00
WWLDD
WLWLW
Match Events
Padron Aguiar C.⚽
19'
Gemelo A.⚽
25'
67'
⚽Cabrera Diaz A.
81'
⚽Cabrera Diaz A.
Gemelo A.⚽
90'
19'
⚽
Padron Aguiar C.
Panaderia
25'
⚽
Gemelo A.
Panaderia
67'
⚽
Cabrera Diaz A.
Mensajero
81'
⚽
Cabrera Diaz A.
Mensajero
90'
⚽
Gemelo A.
Panaderia
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Panaderia28%
Draw44%
Mensajero28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Panaderia (28%) and Mensajero (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Panaderia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Panaderia
VS
Mensajero
Panaderia
VS
Mensajero
0.88
Goals Scored
0.88
0.88
Goals Scored
0.88
1
Goals Conceded
0.63
1
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.75
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
0.75
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
75%
Over 1.5
38%
75%
Over 1.5
38%
25%
Over 2.5
13%
25%
Over 2.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26 | PanaderiavsMensajero | 3:2 |
| 12.10.25 | MensajerovsPanaderia | 2:0 |
| 09.03.25 | MensajerovsPanaderia | 2:3 |
| 26.10.24 | PanaderiavsMensajero | 2:0 |
| 02.04.23 | MensajerovsPanaderia | 3:0 |
Panaderia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | CD MarinovsPanaderia | 1:2W |
| 24.05.26 | UD San FernandovsPanaderia | 1:2W |
| 16.05.26 | PanaderiavsUD San Fernando | 0:2L |
| 10.05.26 | PanaderiavsUnion Sur Yaiza | 0:0D |
| 03.05.26 | San MiguelvsPanaderia | 1:1D |
Mensajero Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | MensajerovsTenerife C | 1:0W |
| 09.09.26 | MensajerovsMurcia | 1:2L |
| 24.05.26 | MensajerovsTamaraceite | 1:0W |
| 16.05.26 | TamaraceitevsMensajero | 2:0L |
| 10.05.26 | MensajerovsUD San Fernando | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |