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Match Events
10'
🟨del Villar E.
Rondon S.🟨
35'
35'
🟨Pereira F.
45'
⚽Romero F.
Barreto S. D.🟨
50'
57'
🔄Helinho
Out: Helinho In: Arce F.
Dominguez A.🔄
Out: Dominguez A. In: Valencia E.
57'
Guzman V.🔄
Out: Guzman V. In: Montiel E.
67'
Montiel E.⚽
72'
74'
🔄Vega A.
Out: Vega A. In: Diaz Price J.
74'
🔄Simon S.
Out: Simon S. In: Barbosa D.
78'
🟥Arce F.
81'
🟨Paulinho
Kenedy R.🔄
Out: Kenedy R. In: Quinones L.
84'
Idrissi O.🔄
Out: Idrissi O. In: Alvarez G.
84'
Barreto S. D.🔄
Out: Barreto S. D. In: Alfaro C.
84'
Quinones L.🟨
88'
90'
🔄Paulinho
Out: Paulinho In: Cordova S.
10'
🟨
del Villar E.
Toluca
35'
🟨
Rondon S.
Pachuca
35'
🟨
Pereira F.
Toluca
45'
⚽
Romero F.
Toluca
50'
🟨
Barreto S. D.
Pachuca
57'
🔄
Helinho
Out: Helinho | In: Arce F.
Toluca
57'
🔄
Dominguez A.
Out: Dominguez A. | In: Valencia E.
Pachuca
67'
🔄
Guzman V.
Out: Guzman V. | In: Montiel E.
Pachuca
72'
⚽
Montiel E.
Pachuca
74'
🔄
Vega A.
Out: Vega A. | In: Diaz Price J.
Toluca
74'
🔄
Simon S.
Out: Simon S. | In: Barbosa D.
Toluca
78'
🟥
Arce F.
Toluca
81'
🟨
Paulinho
Toluca
84'
🔄
Kenedy R.
Out: Kenedy R. | In: Quinones L.
Pachuca
84'
🔄
Idrissi O.
Out: Idrissi O. | In: Alvarez G.
Pachuca
84'
🔄
Barreto S. D.
Out: Barreto S. D. | In: Alfaro C.
Pachuca
88'
🟨
Quinones L.
Pachuca
90'
🔄
Paulinho
Out: Paulinho | In: Cordova S.
Toluca
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Pachuca28%
Draw44%
Toluca28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Liga MX 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Pachuca (28%) and Toluca (28%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Pachuca's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Pachuca
VS
Toluca
Pachuca
VS
Toluca
1.25
Goals Scored
1.63
1.25
Goals Scored
1.63
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.5
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.5
1.23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
1.23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
50%
Over 1.5
88%
50%
Over 1.5
88%
38%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Over 2.5
63%
13%
Over 3.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.05.26 | PachucavsToluca | 2:0 |
| 04.05.26 | TolucavsPachuca | 0:1 |
| 22.03.26 | PachucavsToluca | 1:1 |
| 27.10.25 | TolucavsPachuca | 2:2 |
| 29.03.25 | TolucavsPachuca | 3:2 |
Pachuca Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.08.26 | Club LeonvsPachuca | 1:0L |
| 27.07.26 | PachucavsQueretaro | 1:2L |
| 18.07.26 | UNAM PumasvsPachuca | 0:3W |
| 04.07.26 | PachucavsPuebla | 3:1W |
| 18.05.26 | UNAM PumasvsPachuca | 1:0L |
Toluca Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.08.26 | TolucavsNecaxa | 3:1W |
| 26.07.26 | TolucavsCruz Azul | 1:3L |
| 22.07.26 | TolucavsUNAM Pumas | 1:2L |
| 19.07.26 | Guadalajara ChivasvsToluca | 0:2W |
| 10.07.26 | AtlantevsToluca | 3:3D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | 12 |