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Kenya•Super League
Sunday, Mar 1, 2026, 12:00Mar 1, 12:00
WLWLL
LLLDD
AI Prediction
Top Pick90%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 90%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Nzoia Sugar68%
Draw15.5%
Nairobi City Stars16.5%
Match Analysis
Nzoia Sugar enters this match as the clear favorite with a 68% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Nzoia Sugar's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Nzoia Sugar
VS
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
VS
Nairobi City Stars
1.13
Goals Scored
0.75
1.13
Goals Scored
0.75
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.05
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
1.05
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
75%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 1.5
63%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.03.26 | Nzoia SugarvsNairobi City Stars | 0:0 |
| 29.11.25 | Nairobi City StarsvsNzoia Sugar | 1:1 |
| 19.05.24 | Nzoia SugarvsNairobi City Stars | 0:0 |
| 24.09.23 | Nairobi City StarsvsNzoia Sugar | 2:1 |
| 03.06.23 | Nairobi City StarsvsNzoia Sugar | 2:3 |
Nzoia Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06.26 | Nzoia SugarvsKibera | 1:0W |
| 07.06.26 | Mombasa UnitedvsNzoia Sugar | 1:0L |
| 01.06.26 | Nzoia SugarvsFortune Sacco | 3:1W |
| 27.05.26 | Talanta FCvsNzoia Sugar | 2:0L |
| 24.05.26 | Nzoia SugarvsNaivas FC | 0:1L |
Nairobi City Stars Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06.26 | Nairobi City StarsvsDarajani Gogo | 0:3L |
| 07.06.26 | Talanta FCvsNairobi City Stars | 5:1L |
| 01.06.26 | Nairobi City StarsvsKabati | 1:2L |
| 27.05.26 | KiberavsNairobi City Stars | 1:1D |
| 23.05.26 | Nairobi City StarsvsMCF | 0:0D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |