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Kenya•Super League
Sunday, Feb 15, 2026, 12:00Feb 15, 12:00
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AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Nzoia Sugar26%
Draw48%
Gucha Stars26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Super League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Nzoia Sugar (26%) and Gucha Stars (26%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Nzoia Sugar's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Nzoia Sugar
VS
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
VS
Gucha Stars
1.13
Goals Scored
0.63
1.13
Goals Scored
0.63
1.63
Goals Conceded
1
1.63
Goals Conceded
1
1.01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
1.01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
75%
Over 1.5
50%
75%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15.02.26 | Nzoia SugarvsGucha Stars | 0:2 |
| 15.11.25 | Gucha StarsvsNzoia Sugar | 2:1 |
Nzoia Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06.26 | Nzoia SugarvsKibera | 1:0W |
| 07.06.26 | Mombasa UnitedvsNzoia Sugar | 1:0L |
| 01.06.26 | Nzoia SugarvsFortune Sacco | 3:1W |
| 27.05.26 | Talanta FCvsNzoia Sugar | 2:0L |
| 24.05.26 | Nzoia SugarvsNaivas FC | 0:1L |
Gucha Stars Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06.26 | Gucha StarsvsTalanta FC | 3:2W |
| 07.06.26 | Fortune SaccovsGucha Stars | 1:0L |
| 01.06.26 | Gucha StarsvsDarajani Gogo | 2:1W |
| 27.05.26 | Vihiga UnitedvsGucha Stars | 1:0L |
| 23.05.26 | Gucha StarsvsLuanda Villa | 2:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |