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USA•USL Championship
Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 01:00Oct 11, 01:00
WLLDD
WLLDD
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
New Mexico28%
Draw44%
Monterey Bay28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the USL Championship is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between New Mexico (28%) and Monterey Bay (28%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at New Mexico's home ground.
Scoring Trends
New Mexico
VS
Monterey Bay
New Mexico
VS
Monterey Bay
2.13
Goals Scored
1.25
2.13
Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Goals Conceded
2
1.5
Goals Conceded
2
1.94
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
1.94
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 2.5
50%
75%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 3.5
38%
38%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.08.26 | Monterey BayvsNew Mexico | 2:5 |
| 21.09.25 | Monterey BayvsNew Mexico | 1:1 |
| 24.04.25 | New MexicovsMonterey Bay | 1:0 |
| 18.08.24 | New MexicovsMonterey Bay | 3:2 |
| 02.06.24 | Monterey BayvsNew Mexico | 1:0 |
New Mexico Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.10.26 | New MexicovsPhoenix Rising | 2:1W |
| 01.10.26 | FC TulsavsNew Mexico | 1:0L |
| 27.09.26 | New MexicovsSacramento Republic | 2:3L |
| 20.09.26 | Colorado SpringsvsNew Mexico | 0:0D |
| 17.09.26 | Birmingham LegionvsNew Mexico | 4:4D |
Monterey Bay Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.10.26 | Orange County SCvsMonterey Bay | 1:2W |
| 27.09.26 | Monterey BayvsLexington | 2:3L |
| 19.09.26 | CharlestonvsMonterey Bay | 1:0L |
| 06.09.26 | Monterey BayvsPhoenix Rising | 1:1D |
| 30.08.26 | Monterey BayvsSacramento Republic | 1:1D |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |