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Ethiopia•Premier League 2025/2026
Thursday, Apr 30, 2026, 12:00Apr 30, 12:00
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AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Negele Arsi Ketema FC58%
Draw18%
Fasil Kenema24%
Match Analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema FC enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Negele Arsi Ketema FC's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
VS
Fasil Kenema
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
VS
Fasil Kenema
1.13
Goals Scored
0.63
1.13
Goals Scored
0.63
0.75
Goals Conceded
0.38
0.75
Goals Conceded
0.38
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
75%
Over 1.5
25%
75%
Over 1.5
25%
38%
Over 2.5
0%
38%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30.04.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsFasil Kenema | 0:0 |
| 20.12.25 | Fasil KenemavsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 1:0 |
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30.10.26 | Sheger Ketema FCvsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 1:2W |
| 26.10.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsAdama City | 1:0W |
| 21.10.26 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)vsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:3W |
| 16.10.26 | Ethio Electric S.C.vsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:0D |
| 10.10.26 | St. GeorgesvsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 1:1D |
Fasil Kenema Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.10.26 | Fasil KenemavsBahir Dar Kenema | 2:2D |
| 24.10.26 | Hadiya HossanavsFasil Kenema | 1:0L |
| 20.10.26 | Halaba Ketema FCvsFasil Kenema | 1:1D |
| 10.10.26 | Welayta DichavsFasil Kenema | 0:0D |
| 01.07.26 | Fasil KenemavsEthiopian Insurance | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |