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Ethiopia•Premier League 2025/2026
Monday, May 11, 2026, 13:00May 11, 13:00
WWWDD
WDWLL
Match Events
Tefera D.•
18'
Melese D.⚽
45'
Bizuneh K.⚽
61'
18'
•
Tefera D.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
45'
⚽
Melese D.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
61'
⚽
Bizuneh K.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Negele Arsi Ketema FC56%
Draw18.5%
Dire Dawa25.5%
Match Analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema FC enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Negele Arsi Ketema FC's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
VS
Dire Dawa
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
VS
Dire Dawa
1
Goals Scored
0.88
1
Goals Scored
0.88
1.13
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.13
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
1.04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 1.5
88%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.05.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsDire Dawa | 3:0 |
| 30.12.25 | Dire DawavsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:3 |
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30.10.26 | Sheger Ketema FCvsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 1:2W |
| 26.10.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsAdama City | 1:0W |
| 21.10.26 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)vsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:3W |
| 16.10.26 | Ethio Electric S.C.vsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:0D |
| 10.10.26 | St. GeorgesvsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 1:1D |
Dire Dawa Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.07.26 | Dire DawavsArba Menche | 2:1W |
| 27.06.26 | Hadiya HossanavsDire Dawa | 1:1D |
| 20.06.26 | Dire DawavsSheger Ketema FC | 2:0W |
| 14.06.26 | Ethiopian InsurancevsDire Dawa | 1:0L |
| 28.05.26 | Dire DawavsSt. Georges | 1:2L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |