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Ethiopia•Premier League
Monday, May 11, 2026, 13:00May 11, 13:00
WDWDD
DWLLD
Match Events
Tefera D.•
18'
Melese D.⚽
45'
Bizuneh K.⚽
61'
18'
•
Tefera D.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
45'
⚽
Melese D.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
61'
⚽
Bizuneh K.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Negele Arsi Ketema FC60%
Draw17.5%
Dire Dawa22.5%
Match Analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema FC enters this match as the clear favorite with a 60% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Negele Arsi Ketema FC's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
VS
Dire Dawa
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
VS
Dire Dawa
1
Goals Scored
0.63
1
Goals Scored
0.63
1
Goals Conceded
1.25
1
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.00
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
1.00
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
63%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 2.5
25%
63%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.05.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsDire Dawa | 3:0 |
| 30.12.25 | Dire DawavsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:3 |
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsEthiopia Nigd Bank | 2:0W |
| 20.06.26 | Sidama BunnavsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 1:1D |
| 15.06.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsHawassa | 2:1W |
| 04.06.26 | Welayta DichavsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:0D |
| 21.05.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsShire Endaselassie | 0:0D |
Dire Dawa Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27.06.26 | Hadiya HossanavsDire Dawa | 1:1D |
| 20.06.26 | Dire DawavsSheger Ketema FC | 2:0W |
| 14.06.26 | Ethiopian InsurancevsDire Dawa | 1:0L |
| 28.05.26 | Dire DawavsSt. Georges | 1:2L |
| 20.05.26 | Ethio Electric S.C.vsDire Dawa | 1:1D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 43:22 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 37 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 37:27 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44:29 | 56 |
| 4 | St. Georges | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 32:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 27:28 | 52 |
| 6 | Welayta Dicha | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 37:31 | 50 |
| 7 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 30:25 | 50 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 40:39 | 50 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 10 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 37 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 26:26 | 47 |
| 11 | Hadiya Hossana | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 31:35 | 47 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43:43 | 46 |
| 13 | Ethiopian Insurance | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 30:30 | 46 |
| 14 | Welwalo Adigrat | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 45 |
| 15 | Sheger Ketema FC | 36 | 9 | 17 | 10 | 30:31 | 44 |
| 16 | Adama City | 37 | 9 | 16 | 12 | 32:37 | 43 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 24:30 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 25:40 | 39 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 23:38 | 37 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 29:44 | 35 |