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Portugal•Liga Portugal 2025/2026
Sunday, Mar 15, 2026, 15:30Mar 15, 15:30
LWLLW
WLDDL
Match Events
8'
⚽Bacher F.
16'
🟨Carvalho J.
Silva J.🔄
Out: Silva J. In: Labidi C.
46'
59'
🔄Orellana A.
Out: Orellana A. In: Xeka
59'
🔄Marques A.
Out: Marques A. In: Guitane R.
59'
🔄Begraoui Y.
Out: Begraoui Y. In: Lacximicant A.
Baeza M.🔄
Out: Baeza M. In: Joao L.
63'
Gabriel Veron🔄
Out: Gabriel Veron In: Pablo Ruan
63'
Ramirez J.🟨
76'
78'
🔄Carvalho P.
Out: Carvalho P. In: Amaral P.
78'
🔄Carvalho J.
Out: Carvalho J. In: Pizzi
Matheus Dias🔄
Out: Matheus Dias In: Daniel Junior
79'
Paulinho Boia🔄
Out: Paulinho Boia In: Sousa A.
79'
Joao L.🟨
80'
Ze Vitor🟨
83'
88'
🟨Robles J.
Labidi C.🟨
90'
Pablo Ruan🟨
90'
90'
🟨Sanchez R.
8'
⚽
Bacher F.
Estoril
16'
🟨
Carvalho J.
Estoril
46'
🔄
Silva J.
Out: Silva J. | In: Labidi C.
Nacional
59'
🔄
Orellana A.
Out: Orellana A. | In: Xeka
Estoril
59'
🔄
Marques A.
Out: Marques A. | In: Guitane R.
Estoril
59'
🔄
Begraoui Y.
Out: Begraoui Y. | In: Lacximicant A.
Estoril
63'
🔄
Baeza M.
Out: Baeza M. | In: Joao L.
Nacional
63'
🔄
Gabriel Veron
Out: Gabriel Veron | In: Pablo Ruan
Nacional
76'
🟨
Ramirez J.
Nacional
78'
🔄
Carvalho P.
Out: Carvalho P. | In: Amaral P.
Estoril
78'
🔄
Carvalho J.
Out: Carvalho J. | In: Pizzi
Estoril
79'
🔄
Matheus Dias
Out: Matheus Dias | In: Daniel Junior
Nacional
79'
🔄
Paulinho Boia
Out: Paulinho Boia | In: Sousa A.
Nacional
80'
🟨
Joao L.
Nacional
83'
🟨
Ze Vitor
Nacional
88'
🟨
Robles J.
Estoril
90'
🟨
Labidi C.
Nacional
90'
🟨
Pablo Ruan
Nacional
90'
🟨
Sanchez R.
Estoril
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Nacional27%
Draw46%
Estoril27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Liga Portugal 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Nacional (27%) and Estoril (27%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Nacional's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Nacional
VS
Estoril
Nacional
VS
Estoril
1
Goals Scored
0.88
1
Goals Scored
0.88
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.88
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.88
1.18
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
1.18
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
75%
Over 1.5
75%
75%
Over 1.5
75%
13%
Over 2.5
50%
13%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03.26 | NacionalvsEstoril | 0:1 |
| 26.10.25 | EstorilvsNacional | 1:1 |
| 15.02.25 | NacionalvsEstoril | 2:2 |
| 15.09.24 | EstorilvsNacional | 1:0 |
| 25.07.21 | NacionalvsEstoril | 1:2 |
Nacional Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.07.26 | NacionalvsMachico | 1:2L |
| 16.05.26 | NacionalvsVitoria Guimaraes | 2:0W |
| 11.05.26 | Santa ClaravsNacional | 2:0L |
| 02.05.26 | NacionalvsAFS | 1:2L |
| 25.04.26 | TondelavsNacional | 0:2W |
Estoril Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.07.26 | EstorilvsAtletico CP | 3:0W |
| 16.05.26 | EstorilvsBenfica | 1:3L |
| 10.05.26 | AlvercavsEstoril | 1:1D |
| 03.05.26 | BragavsEstoril | 1:1D |
| 26.04.26 | EstorilvsFamalicao | 0:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |