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Portugal•Liga Portugal 2025/2026
Sunday, Feb 8, 2026, 15:30Feb 8, 15:30
WLLWW
WDDWL
Match Events
46'
🔄Morais T.
Out: Morais T. In: Marques J.
64'
🟨Kaly
71'
🔄Livolant J.
Out: Livolant J. In: Osundina K.
71'
🔄Brito R.
Out: Brito R. In: Mohamed I.
77'
🟨Mohamed I.
81'
🔄Cassiano
Out: Cassiano In: Mendes C.
Leo Santos🟨
83'
Gabriel Veron🔄
Out: Gabriel Veron In: Daniel Junior
84'
Gomes J.🔄
Out: Gomes J. In: Witiness J.
84'
Baeza M.🟨
85'
86'
🟨Geraldes A.
Baeza M.🔄
Out: Baeza M. In: Silva J.
89'
Paulinho Boia🔄
Out: Paulinho Boia In: Pablo Ruan
90'
46'
🔄
Morais T.
Out: Morais T. | In: Marques J.
Casa Pia
64'
🟨
Kaly
Casa Pia
71'
🔄
Livolant J.
Out: Livolant J. | In: Osundina K.
Casa Pia
71'
🔄
Brito R.
Out: Brito R. | In: Mohamed I.
Casa Pia
77'
🟨
Mohamed I.
Casa Pia
81'
🔄
Cassiano
Out: Cassiano | In: Mendes C.
Casa Pia
83'
🟨
Leo Santos
Nacional
84'
🔄
Gabriel Veron
Out: Gabriel Veron | In: Daniel Junior
Nacional
84'
🔄
Gomes J.
Out: Gomes J. | In: Witiness J.
Nacional
85'
🟨
Baeza M.
Nacional
86'
🟨
Geraldes A.
Casa Pia
89'
🔄
Baeza M.
Out: Baeza M. | In: Silva J.
Nacional
90'
🔄
Paulinho Boia
Out: Paulinho Boia | In: Pablo Ruan
Nacional
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Nacional27%
Draw46%
Casa Pia27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Liga Portugal 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Nacional (27%) and Casa Pia (27%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Nacional's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Nacional
VS
Casa Pia
Nacional
VS
Casa Pia
0.75
Goals Scored
0.5
0.75
Goals Scored
0.5
1
Goals Conceded
1.5
1
Goals Conceded
1.5
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
63%
Over 1.5
50%
63%
Over 1.5
50%
13%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08.02.26 | NacionalvsCasa Pia | 0:0 |
| 30.08.25 | Casa PiavsNacional | 0:2 |
| 16.03.25 | NacionalvsCasa Pia | 3:1 |
| 25.10.24 | Casa PiavsNacional | 1:0 |
| 25.11.23 | NacionalvsCasa Pia | 1:0 |
Nacional Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.05.26 | NacionalvsVitoria Guimaraes | 2:0W |
| 11.05.26 | Santa ClaravsNacional | 2:0L |
| 02.05.26 | NacionalvsAFS | 1:2L |
| 25.04.26 | TondelavsNacional | 0:2W |
| 18.04.26 | NacionalvsAlverca | 1:0W |
Casa Pia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28.05.26 | Casa PiavsTorreense | 2:0W |
| 20.05.26 | TorreensevsCasa Pia | 0:0D |
| 16.05.26 | Casa PiavsRio Ave | 1:1D |
| 11.05.26 | Vitoria GuimaraesvsCasa Pia | 0:1W |
| 03.05.26 | Casa PiavsTondela | 0:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |