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Italy•Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Saturday, Mar 28, 2026, 14:00Mar 28, 14:00
DWLDW
LWLDD
Match Events
77'
⚽Boriosi M.
87'
🟥
Bocci T.⚽
90'
77'
⚽
Boriosi M.
Poggibonsi
87'
🟥
Poggibonsi
90'
⚽
Bocci T.
Montevarchi
AI Prediction
Top Pick60%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 60%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Montevarchi62%
Draw17%
Poggibonsi21%
Match Analysis
Montevarchi enters this match as the clear favorite with a 62% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Montevarchi's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Montevarchi
VS
Poggibonsi
Montevarchi
VS
Poggibonsi
0.5
Goals Scored
0.75
0.5
Goals Scored
0.75
0.63
Goals Conceded
1
0.63
Goals Conceded
1
0.60
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
0.60
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
38%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 1.5
50%
0%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28.03.26 | MontevarchivsPoggibonsi | 1:1 |
| 16.11.25 | PoggibonsivsMontevarchi | 0:1 |
| 02.02.25 | PoggibonsivsMontevarchi | 2:2 |
| 06.10.24 | MontevarchivsPoggibonsi | 2:1 |
| 25.02.24 | PoggibonsivsMontevarchi | 1:0 |
Montevarchi Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.09.26 | Seravezza PozzivsMontevarchi | 1:1D |
| 12.09.26 | MontevarchivsTau | 4:1W |
| 06.09.26 | LucchesevsMontevarchi | 2:1L |
| 19.08.26 | MontevarchivsFigline | 0:0D |
| 13.08.26 | MontevarchivsGrassina | 1:0W |
Poggibonsi Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.05.26 | OrvietanavsPoggibonsi | 1:0L |
| 03.05.26 | PoggibonsivsScandicci | 1:0W |
| 26.04.26 | CannaravsPoggibonsi | 3:2L |
| 19.04.26 | PoggibonsivsTau | 0:0D |
| 12.04.26 | Camaiore CalciovsPoggibonsi | 1:1D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |