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Kenya•Super League 2025/2026
Saturday, May 16, 2026, 10:00May 16, 10:00
DDDDL
WLWLW
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
MOFA26%
Draw48%
Gucha Stars26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Super League 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between MOFA (26%) and Gucha Stars (26%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at MOFA's home ground.
Scoring Trends
MOFA
VS
Gucha Stars
MOFA
VS
Gucha Stars
1.25
Goals Scored
0.63
1.25
Goals Scored
0.63
1.25
Goals Conceded
1
1.25
Goals Conceded
1
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
63%
Over 1.5
50%
63%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.05.26 | MOFAvsGucha Stars | 2:1 |
| 03.12.25 | Gucha StarsvsMOFA | 2:3 |
MOFA Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06.26 | MOFAvsKabati | 1:1D |
| 07.06.26 | Soy UnitedvsMOFA | 0:0D |
| 01.06.26 | MOFAvsKibera | 1:1D |
| 28.05.26 | Darajani GogovsMOFA | 1:1D |
| 24.05.26 | Kisumu All-StarsvsMOFA | 1:0L |
Gucha Stars Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06.26 | Gucha StarsvsTalanta FC | 3:2W |
| 07.06.26 | Fortune SaccovsGucha Stars | 1:0L |
| 01.06.26 | Gucha StarsvsDarajani Gogo | 2:1W |
| 27.05.26 | Vihiga UnitedvsGucha Stars | 1:0L |
| 23.05.26 | Gucha StarsvsLuanda Villa | 2:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |