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England•National League North 2025/2026
Tuesday, Mar 10, 2026, 19:45Mar 10, 19:45
LWWLD
DWWLW
Match Events
5'
⚽Shrimpton F.
Harris M.⚽
11'
90'
⚽Mottley-Henry D.
5'
⚽
Shrimpton F.
Chester
11'
⚽
Harris M.
Merthyr Town
90'
⚽
Mottley-Henry D.
Chester
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Merthyr Town27%
Draw46%
Chester27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the National League North 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Merthyr Town (27%) and Chester (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Merthyr Town's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Merthyr Town
VS
Chester
Merthyr Town
VS
Chester
2
Goals Scored
1
2
Goals Scored
1
1.63
Goals Conceded
0.75
1.63
Goals Conceded
0.75
1.51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
1.51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
88%
Over 1.5
63%
88%
Over 1.5
63%
88%
Over 2.5
25%
88%
Over 2.5
25%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.03.26 | Merthyr TownvsChester | 1:2 |
| 04.10.25 | ChestervsMerthyr Town | 2:2 |
Merthyr Town Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | WorcestervsMerthyr Town | 1:0L |
| 28.07.26 | Merthyr TownvsSwansea | 3:0W |
| 21.07.26 | Merthyr TownvsBriton Ferry | 3:0W |
| 18.07.26 | Merthyr TownvsForest Green | 1:2L |
| 14.07.26 | Merthyr TownvsYeovil | 2:2D |
Chester Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | ChestervsCrewe | 0:0D |
| 28.07.26 | NantwichvsChester | 0:3W |
| 24.07.26 | HydevsChester | 0:1W |
| 21.07.26 | ChestervsStoke City U21 | 0:1L |
| 18.07.26 | Warrington TownvsChester | 0:2W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |