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Ethiopia•Premier League 2025/2026
Monday, May 4, 2026, 13:00May 4, 13:00
DWWLW
DLDDW
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Mechal SC58%
Draw18%
Adama City24%
Match Analysis
Mechal SC enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mechal SC's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mechal SC
VS
Adama City
Mechal SC
VS
Adama City
0.5
Goals Scored
0.88
0.5
Goals Scored
0.88
1
Goals Conceded
0.88
1
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.57
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
0.57
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
38%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 1.5
50%
25%
Over 2.5
25%
25%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.05.26 | Mechal SCvsAdama City | 0:0 |
| 26.12.25 | Adama CityvsMechal SC | 1:3 |
| 21.04.25 | Adama CityvsMechal SC | 0:2 |
| 04.11.24 | Mechal SCvsAdama City | 2:0 |
| 30.06.24 | Adama CityvsMechal SC | 0:3 |
Mechal SC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.11.26 | Sidama BunnavsMechal SC | 0:0D |
| 27.10.26 | Ethiopian InsurancevsMechal SC | 1:3W |
| 22.10.26 | Gamo Chencha FCvsMechal SC | 0:1W |
| 18.10.26 | Mechal SCvsEthiopia Nigd Bank | 0:1L |
| 11.10.26 | HawassavsMechal SC | 0:1W |
Adama City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.10.26 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)vsAdama City | 0:0D |
| 26.10.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsAdama City | 1:0L |
| 22.10.26 | St. GeorgesvsAdama City | 1:1D |
| 16.10.26 | Adama CityvsSheger Ketema FC | 0:0D |
| 09.10.26 | Ethio Electric S.C.vsAdama City | 0:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |