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AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
MCF58%
Draw18%
Nzoia Sugar24%
Match Analysis
MCF enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at MCF's home ground.
Scoring Trends
MCF
VS
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
VS
Nzoia Sugar
0.38
Goals Scored
1.13
0.38
Goals Scored
1.13
1
Goals Conceded
1.63
1
Goals Conceded
1.63
0.70
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
0.70
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
50%
Over 1.5
75%
50%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17.05.26 | MCFvsNzoia Sugar | 1:0 |
| 03.12.25 | Nzoia SugarvsMCF | 0:0 |
| 12.04.25 | MCFvsNzoia Sugar | 4:0 |
| 05.02.25 | Nzoia SugarvsMCF | 4:0 |
MCF Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06.26 | MCFvsFortune Sacco | 0:3L |
| 07.06.26 | KiberavsMCF | 1:2W |
| 01.06.26 | MCFvsMwatate United | 2:0W |
| 27.05.26 | MigorivsMCF | 2:1L |
| 23.05.26 | Nairobi City StarsvsMCF | 0:0D |
Nzoia Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.06.26 | Nzoia SugarvsKibera | 1:0W |
| 07.06.26 | Mombasa UnitedvsNzoia Sugar | 1:0L |
| 01.06.26 | Nzoia SugarvsFortune Sacco | 3:1W |
| 27.05.26 | Talanta FCvsNzoia Sugar | 2:0L |
| 24.05.26 | Nzoia SugarvsNaivas FC | 0:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |