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Uganda•Premier League 2025/2026
Thursday, Apr 16, 2026, 13:00Apr 16, 13:00
LWLWL
DWWDL
Match Events
Kanyike M.⚽
44'
73'
⚽Jakony D.
90'
⚽Teny P.
44'
⚽
Kanyike M.
Mbarara City
73'
⚽
Jakony D.
Police
90'
⚽
Teny P.
Police
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Mbarara City58%
Draw18%
Police24%
Match Analysis
Mbarara City enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mbarara City's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mbarara City
VS
Police
Mbarara City
VS
Police
0.38
Goals Scored
0.75
0.38
Goals Scored
0.75
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.5
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.5
0.67
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
0.67
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
25%
Over 1.5
50%
25%
Over 1.5
50%
13%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29.08.26 | PolicevsMbarara City | 1:0 |
| 16.04.26 | Mbarara CityvsPolice | 1:2 |
| 26.09.25 | PolicevsMbarara City | 1:1 |
| 10.04.25 | PolicevsMbarara City | 2:0 |
| 20.09.24 | Mbarara CityvsPolice | 0:0 |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.10.26 | Mbarara CityvsKampala City | 1:3L |
| 28.10.26 | Mbarara CityvsVipers | 1:0W |
| 22.10.26 | VillavsMbarara City | 2:0L |
| 11.10.26 | Mbarara CityvsBlacks Power | 2:1W |
| 07.10.26 | NtugasazevsMbarara City | 1:0L |
Police Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.11.26 | PolicevsKitara | 1:1D |
| 30.10.26 | KatakavsPolice | 1:2W |
| 27.10.26 | PolicevsKigezi HomeBoyz | 3:1W |
| 23.10.26 | VipersvsPolice | 0:0D |
| 14.10.26 | PolicevsVilla | 1:6L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |