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Uganda•Premier League
Thursday, Apr 16, 2026, 13:00Apr 16, 13:00
LWLWW
DDDLW
Match Events
Kanyike M.⚽
44'
73'
⚽Jakony D.
90'
⚽Teny P.
44'
⚽
Kanyike M.
Mbarara City
73'
⚽
Jakony D.
Police
90'
⚽
Teny P.
Police
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Mbarara City28%
Draw44%
Police28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Mbarara City (28%) and Police (28%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mbarara City's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mbarara City
VS
Police
Mbarara City
VS
Police
1
Goals Scored
1.13
1
Goals Scored
1.13
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.00
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
1.00
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
63%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 3.5
25%
38%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.04.26 | Mbarara CityvsPolice | 1:2 |
| 26.09.25 | PolicevsMbarara City | 1:1 |
| 10.04.25 | PolicevsMbarara City | 2:0 |
| 20.09.24 | Mbarara CityvsPolice | 0:0 |
| 12.04.22 | Mbarara CityvsPolice | 3:0 |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | Kampala CityvsMbarara City | 4:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsBuhimba | 2:0W |
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3L |
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1W |
| 28.04.26 | Mbarara CityvsExpress FC | 2:1W |
Police Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | KitaravsPolice | 2:2D |
| 19.05.26 | PolicevsEntebbe UPPC | 1:1D |
| 12.05.26 | PolicevsVipers | 0:0D |
| 06.05.26 | CalvaryvsPolice | 1:0L |
| 29.04.26 | PolicevsUPDF FC | 2:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |