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Uganda•Premier League 2025/2026
Tuesday, Apr 28, 2026, 13:00Apr 28, 13:00
LWLWL
DDDLD
Match Events
Kamugisha C.⚽
10'
17'
⚽Kimera K.
Amanya I.⚽
57'
10'
⚽
Kamugisha C.
Mbarara City
17'
⚽
Kimera K.
Express FC
57'
⚽
Amanya I.
Mbarara City
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Mbarara City26%
Draw48%
Express FC26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Mbarara City (26%) and Express FC (26%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mbarara City's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mbarara City
VS
Express FC
Mbarara City
VS
Express FC
0.38
Goals Scored
0.75
0.38
Goals Scored
0.75
0.63
Goals Conceded
1
0.63
Goals Conceded
1
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
25%
Over 1.5
63%
25%
Over 1.5
63%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28.04.26 | Mbarara CityvsExpress FC | 2:1 |
| 05.11.25 | Express FCvsMbarara City | 4:1 |
| 16.05.25 | Mbarara CityvsExpress FC | 2:0 |
| 28.11.24 | Express FCvsMbarara City | 3:1 |
| 02.02.24 | Mbarara CityvsExpress FC | 3:1 |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.10.26 | Mbarara CityvsKampala City | 1:3L |
| 28.10.26 | Mbarara CityvsVipers | 1:0W |
| 22.10.26 | VillavsMbarara City | 2:0L |
| 11.10.26 | Mbarara CityvsBlacks Power | 2:1W |
| 07.10.26 | NtugasazevsMbarara City | 1:0L |
Express FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.11.26 | NtugasazevsExpress FC | 1:1D |
| 27.10.26 | Express FCvsKataka | 2:2D |
| 21.10.26 | LugazivsExpress FC | 0:0D |
| 15.10.26 | Express FCvsUPDF FC | 1:2L |
| 08.10.26 | NEC FCvsExpress FC | 0:0D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |