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Uganda•Premier League
Thursday, Feb 12, 2026, 13:00Feb 12, 13:00
LWLWW
WDDWL
Match Events
Kamugisha C.⚽
54'
54'
⚽
Kamugisha C.
Mbarara City
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Mbarara City27%
Draw19%
Calvary54%
Match Analysis
Calvary holds a slight edge in this encounter, though a result is far from guaranteed. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mbarara City's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mbarara City
VS
Calvary
Mbarara City
VS
Calvary
1
Goals Scored
0.63
1
Goals Scored
0.63
1.38
Goals Conceded
0.5
1.38
Goals Conceded
0.5
0.79
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
0.79
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
63%
Over 1.5
38%
63%
Over 1.5
38%
63%
Over 2.5
0%
63%
Over 2.5
0%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.02.26 | Mbarara CityvsCalvary | 1:0 |
| 13.12.25 | CalvaryvsMbarara City | 1:1 |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | Kampala CityvsMbarara City | 4:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsBuhimba | 2:0W |
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3L |
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1W |
| 28.04.26 | Mbarara CityvsExpress FC | 2:1W |
Calvary Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | CalvaryvsNEC FC | 2:0W |
| 19.05.26 | UPDF FCvsCalvary | 0:0D |
| 12.05.26 | Uganda RevenuevsCalvary | 1:1D |
| 06.05.26 | CalvaryvsPolice | 1:0W |
| 29.04.26 | Entebbe UPPCvsCalvary | 2:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |