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Kenya•Premier League
Thursday, Oct 29, 2026, 12:00Oct 29, 12:00
WDLDW
LDLWW
Match Events
Nyatini J.⚽
30'
Oduor M.⚽
44'
52'
⚽Adikiny F.
Mutinda M.🟨
54'
Mutinda M.🟥
54'
30'
⚽
Nyatini J.
Mathare United
44'
⚽
Oduor M.
Mathare United
52'
⚽
Adikiny F.
Tusker
54'
🟨
Mutinda M.
Mathare United
54'
🟥
Mutinda M.
Mathare United
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Mathare United28%
Draw44%
Tusker28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Mathare United (28%) and Tusker (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mathare United's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mathare United
VS
Tusker
Mathare United
VS
Tusker
0.33
Goals Scored
1.13
0.33
Goals Scored
1.13
0.33
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.33
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.46
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
0.46
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
17%
Over 1.5
63%
17%
Over 1.5
63%
17%
Over 2.5
38%
17%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29.10.26 | Mathare UnitedvsTusker | 2:1 |
| 14.02.26 | Mathare UnitedvsTusker | 3:1 |
| 01.10.25 | TuskervsMathare United | 0:0 |
| 27.04.25 | Mathare UnitedvsTusker | 2:1 |
| 07.12.24 | TuskervsMathare United | 2:0 |
Mathare United Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29.10.26 | Mathare UnitedvsTusker | 2:1W |
| 24.10.26 | MigorivsMathare United | 0:0D |
| 17.10.26 | KCBvsMathare United | 1:0L |
| 10.10.26 | Mathare UnitedvsAPS Bomet | 0:0D |
| 31.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsBandari | 1:0W |
Tusker Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29.10.26 | Mathare UnitedvsTusker | 2:1L |
| 25.10.26 | Singida Black StarsvsTusker | 1:1D |
| 18.10.26 | TuskervsSingida Black Stars | 0:1L |
| 11.10.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsTusker | 0:2W |
| 12.09.26 | TuskervsMadani | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Muranga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 5 | Migori | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 6 | APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 7 | Mara Sugar | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Shabana | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Police FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 10 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 11 | 3K FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 12 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Bandari | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 16 | Posta Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Tusker | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |