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Kenya•Premier League
Saturday, Oct 24, 2026, 12:00Oct 24, 12:00
DWLWL
WDDLL
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Mathare United27%
Draw46%
Kakamega Homeboyz27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Mathare United (27%) and Kakamega Homeboyz (27%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mathare United's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mathare United
VS
Kakamega Homeboyz
Mathare United
VS
Kakamega Homeboyz
0.38
Goals Scored
0.5
0.38
Goals Scored
0.5
0.25
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.25
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
0.42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
13%
Over 1.5
38%
13%
Over 1.5
38%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.04.26 | Kakamega HomeboyzvsMathare United | 3:0 |
| 15.11.25 | Mathare UnitedvsKakamega Homeboyz | 2:0 |
| 10.05.25 | Mathare UnitedvsKakamega Homeboyz | 0:1 |
| 15.09.24 | Kakamega HomeboyzvsMathare United | 0:0 |
| 04.06.23 | Kakamega HomeboyzvsMathare United | 1:0 |
Mathare United Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.10.26 | Mathare UnitedvsAPS Bomet | 0:0D |
| 31.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsBandari | 1:0W |
| 23.05.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsMathare United | 2:1L |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1W |
| 10.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsAPS Bomet | 0:2L |
Kakamega Homeboyz Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Mombasa UnitedvsKakamega Homeboyz | 0:1W |
| 31.05.26 | Police FCvsKakamega Homeboyz | 1:1D |
| 23.05.26 | Kariobangi SharksvsKakamega Homeboyz | 2:2D |
| 16.05.26 | Kakamega HomeboyzvsLeopards | 1:2L |
| 10.05.26 | MurangavsKakamega Homeboyz | 1:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Shabana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 5 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | 3K FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Police FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Migori | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Mathare United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | APS Bomet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Posta Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Muranga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Ulinzi Stars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |