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Kenya•Premier League
Saturday, May 16, 2026, 11:00May 16, 11:00
LDLWL
WLWLD
Match Events
14'
•Olanga B.
14'
•
Olanga B.
Mathare United
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Mara Sugar56%
Draw18.5%
Mathare United25.5%
Match Analysis
Mara Sugar enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mara Sugar's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mara Sugar
VS
Mathare United
Mara Sugar
VS
Mathare United
0.75
Goals Scored
1
0.75
Goals Scored
1
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
25%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 1.5
75%
13%
Over 2.5
50%
13%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1 |
| 08.12.25 | Mathare UnitedvsMara Sugar | 0:1 |
| 28.03.25 | Mathare UnitedvsMara Sugar | 2:1 |
| 18.01.25 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 3:0 |
| 22.06.24 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 1:0 |
Mara Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | MurangavsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0D |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1L |
| 13.05.26 | Mara SugarvsShabana | 1:0W |
| 09.05.26 | LeopardsvsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
Mathare United Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsBandari | 1:0W |
| 23.05.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsMathare United | 2:1L |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1W |
| 10.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsAPS Bomet | 0:2L |
| 02.05.26 | SofapakavsMathare United | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |