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Match Events
Odhiambo F.⚽
13'
Owino S.⚽
18'
Assifuah E.•
31'
13'
⚽
Odhiambo F.
Mahia
18'
⚽
Owino S.
Mahia
31'
•
Assifuah E.
Mahia
AI Prediction
Top Pick100%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 100%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Mahia70%
Draw15%
Sofapaka15%
Match Analysis
Mahia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 70% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mahia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mahia
VS
Sofapaka
Mahia
VS
Sofapaka
0.75
Goals Scored
0.57
0.75
Goals Scored
0.57
0.5
Goals Conceded
2.14
0.5
Goals Conceded
2.14
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
25%
Over 1.5
71%
25%
Over 1.5
71%
13%
Over 2.5
57%
13%
Over 2.5
57%
13%
Over 3.5
29%
13%
Over 3.5
29%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26 | MahiavsSofapaka | 3:0 |
| 27.09.25 | SofapakavsMahia | 0:2 |
| 19.04.25 | SofapakavsMahia | 1:1 |
| 22.01.25 | MahiavsSofapaka | 2:0 |
| 16.06.24 | SofapakavsMahia | 0:1 |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.08.26 | MahiavsAl-Hilal Omdurman | 2:1W |
| 30.07.26 | MahiavsGarde Republicaine | 1:0W |
| 27.07.26 | MahiavsVipers | 0:1L |
| 24.07.26 | APRvsMahia | 0:5W |
| 31.05.26 | MahiavsNairobi United | 0:1L |
Sofapaka Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | Kariobangi SharksvsSofapaka | 6:0L |
| 27.05.26 | SofapakavsKCB | 1:2L |
| 24.05.26 | SofapakavsShabana | 1:1D |
| 11.05.26 | Posta RangersvsSofapaka | 3:0L |
| 02.05.26 | SofapakavsMathare United | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |